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River Ebro vs Racing Rioja

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Lorente M.
32' Event
Alesanco S.
Own Goal
46' Event
Burset F.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 game between River Ebro and Racing Rioja finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward River Ebro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
River Ebro
15%
Draws
0%
Racing Rioja
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: River Ebro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Racing Rioja carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans River Ebro's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Racing Rioja here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
River Ebro Clean Sheet 20%
Racing Rioja Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric River Ebro Racing Rioja
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 0.9 1
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
River Ebro vs Racing Rioja
3:0
Nov 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Racing Rioja vs River Ebro
1:0
Feb 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Racing Rioja vs River Ebro
5:0
Nov 29, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
River Ebro vs Racing Rioja
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

River Ebro Compare

Top Goalscorer Lorente M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Burset F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Racing Rioja Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

River Ebro 67 / 100
Racing Rioja 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
River Ebro Racing Rioja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick River Ebro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Racing Rioja lost 5 of their last 5 games.

River Ebro's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Racing Rioja conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

River Ebro VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

River Ebro

(Home)
18 Sept
Yague
1 : 0
River Ebro
13 Sept
Berceo
7 : 0
River Ebro
06 Sept
River Ebro
1 : 2
Comillas CF
11 May
River Ebro
0 : 2
Vianes
04 May
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 1
River Ebro
Page 1 of 7

Racing Rioja

(Away)
12 May
Racing Rioja
0 : 3
UD Logrones B
05 May
Oyonesa
2 : 1
Racing Rioja
01 May
Racing Rioja
0 : 4
Comillas CF
27 Apr
Berceo
5 : 2
Racing Rioja
21 Apr
Racing Rioja
1 : 2
Casalarreina CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 23 7 4 67:19 76
2 Alfaro 34 23 7 4 80:36 76
3 CD Calahorra B 34 20 7 7 70:34 67
4 Anguiano 34 19 8 7 69:41 65
5 Varea 34 18 7 9 59:31 61
6 Oyonesa 34 17 7 10 46:28 58
7 Casalarreina CF 34 15 10 9 57:49 55
8 CDFC La Calzada 34 13 9 12 52:43 48
9 Berceo 34 13 8 13 43:44 47
10 Arnedo 34 11 9 14 36:48 42
11 Pena Balsamaiso 34 12 6 16 51:62 42
12 Racing Rioja 34 11 6 17 37:55 39
13 River Ebro 34 10 8 16 40:50 38
14 Vianes 34 9 6 19 30:62 33
15 Haro Deportivo 34 8 7 19 38:50 31
16 CD Tedeon 34 8 6 20 25:61 30
17 Comillas CF 34 3 15 16 38:59 24
18 CCD Alberite 34 4 5 25 37:103 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 (Play Offs)