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River Esporte Clube vs Real Sao Luiz

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Capixaba L.
61' Event
Sergio Baiano
65' Event
Souop J.

AI Match Summary

The Roraimense 2023 game between River Esporte Clube and Real Sao Luiz finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Sao Luiz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
River Esporte Clube
6%
Draws
4%
Real Sao Luiz
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: River Esporte Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Real Sao Luiz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on River Esporte Clube taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
River Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 14%
Real Sao Luiz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric River Esporte Clube Real Sao Luiz
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.38 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2024 Roraimense
Real Sao Luiz vs River Esporte Clube
1:2
Mar 25, 2023 Roraimense
River Esporte Clube vs Real Sao Luiz
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

River Esporte Clube Compare

Top Goalscorer Batatinha R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Real Sao Luiz Compare

Top Goalscorer Capixaba L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sergio Baiano
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.93

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

River Esporte Clube 84 / 100
Real Sao Luiz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
River Esporte Clube Real Sao Luiz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

River Esporte Clube's goal record stands at 92% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Real Sao Luiz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

River Esporte Clube went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

River Esporte Clube VS Real Sao Luiz
2.38 Goals Scored 1.67
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.17
100% Over 1.5 67%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 33%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gremio Atletico Sampaio440018:612
2Nautico FC421111:67
3Bare41215:65
4Atl. Roraima41038:103
5Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)40131:151
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Raimundo RR321010:17
2Real Sao Luiz32104:17
3River Esporte Clube31025:83
4Progresso30031:100