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River Melilla vs CD Alhaurino

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2016/2017 game between River Melilla and CD Alhaurino finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward River Melilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
River Melilla
20%
Draws
80%
CD Alhaurino
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Alhaurino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Alhaurino come out ahead of River Melilla on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans CD Alhaurino's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
River Melilla Clean Sheet 20%
CD Alhaurino Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric River Melilla CD Alhaurino
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 10
Draws 0 9
Losses 28 11
Goals Scored 0.67 1.23
Goals Conceded 3.2 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Alhaurino vs River Melilla
4:1
Oct 6, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
River Melilla vs CD Alhaurino
2:4
Feb 25, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
River Melilla vs CD Alhaurino
3:0
Oct 16, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Alhaurino vs River Melilla
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

River Melilla 10 / 100
CD Alhaurino 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
River Melilla CD Alhaurino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Alhaurino Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: CD Alhaurino conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: River Melilla scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

CD Alhaurino lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Alhaurino
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

River Melilla

(Home)
19 May
UD San Pedro
3 : 2
River Melilla
11 May
River Melilla
0 : 3
Antequera
04 May
Torremolinos
5 : 0
River Melilla
01 May
River Melilla
2 : 5
Loja
27 Apr
River Melilla
1 : 5
Alhaurin
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CD Alhaurino

(Away)
27 Sept
Motril
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
20 Sept
CD Alhaurino
2 : 1
Churriana de la Vega
13 Sept
Almeria B
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
06 Sept
CD Alhaurino
0 : 0
Granada CF B
10 May
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1
Mancha
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaga B 38 28 6 4 107:34 90
2 Antequera 38 23 6 9 70:38 75
3 Almeria B 38 21 8 9 61:36 71
4 Huetor Tajar 38 21 8 9 73:48 71
5 Motril 38 21 7 10 71:43 70
6 Loja 38 20 6 12 63:41 66
7 Rincon 38 16 9 13 49:52 57
8 El Palo 38 16 8 14 64:57 56
9 Martos 38 15 8 15 57:54 53
10 Guadix 38 14 9 15 47:51 51
11 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 38 14 6 18 41:51 48
12 Maracena 38 12 10 16 50:54 46
13 UD San Pedro 37 11 12 14 42:49 45
14 Atarfe Industrial 37 11 12 14 42:59 45
15 Velez 38 12 8 18 44:64 44
16 Huetor Vega 38 10 14 14 45:55 44
17 River Melilla 38 10 10 18 47:67 40
18 CD Alhaurino 38 7 10 21 37:67 31
19 Dos Hermanas 38 7 7 24 48:88 28
20 Alhaurin 38 3 10 25 39:89 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)