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River Melilla vs Dos Hermanas

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2016/2017 game between River Melilla and Dos Hermanas finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward River Melilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
River Melilla
15%
Draws
85%
Dos Hermanas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dos Hermanas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Dos Hermanas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Dos Hermanas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
River Melilla Clean Sheet 11%
Dos Hermanas Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric River Melilla Dos Hermanas
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 2 14
Draws 0 6
Losses 28 8
Goals Scored 0.67 2.39
Goals Conceded 3.2 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
River Melilla vs Dos Hermanas
2:1
Nov 26, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Dos Hermanas vs River Melilla
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

River Melilla 10 / 100
Dos Hermanas 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
River Melilla Dos Hermanas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dos Hermanas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Dos Hermanas conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Attacking prowess: River Melilla scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Dos Hermanas's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dos Hermanas
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

River Melilla

(Home)
19 May
UD San Pedro
3 : 2
River Melilla
11 May
River Melilla
0 : 3
Antequera
04 May
Torremolinos
5 : 0
River Melilla
01 May
River Melilla
2 : 5
Loja
27 Apr
River Melilla
1 : 5
Alhaurin
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Dos Hermanas

(Away)
13 Sept
Cadiz B
0 : 0
Dos Hermanas
09 Sept
Sporting Ceuta
0 : 9
Dos Hermanas
06 Sept
Dos Hermanas
3 : 0
CD Utrera
08 Aug
Dos Hermanas
0 : 1
Linares
06 Aug
Dos Hermanas
2 : 4
Antoniano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaga B 38 28 6 4 107:34 90
2 Antequera 38 23 6 9 70:38 75
3 Almeria B 38 21 8 9 61:36 71
4 Huetor Tajar 38 21 8 9 73:48 71
5 Motril 38 21 7 10 71:43 70
6 Loja 38 20 6 12 63:41 66
7 Rincon 38 16 9 13 49:52 57
8 El Palo 38 16 8 14 64:57 56
9 Martos 38 15 8 15 57:54 53
10 Guadix 38 14 9 15 47:51 51
11 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 38 14 6 18 41:51 48
12 Maracena 38 12 10 16 50:54 46
13 UD San Pedro 37 11 12 14 42:49 45
14 Atarfe Industrial 37 11 12 14 42:59 45
15 Velez 38 12 8 18 44:64 44
16 Huetor Vega 38 10 14 14 45:55 44
17 River Melilla 38 10 10 18 47:67 40
18 CD Alhaurino 38 7 10 21 37:67 31
19 Dos Hermanas 38 7 7 24 48:88 28
20 Alhaurin 38 3 10 25 39:89 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)