Sport Picks

Stadium Background

River Melilla vs Loja Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2016/2017 game between River Melilla and Loja finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
River Melilla
15%
Draws
85%
Loja
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Loja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Loja come out ahead of River Melilla on wins alone.
  • Model gives Loja a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Loja have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
River Melilla Clean Sheet 20%
Loja Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric River Melilla Loja
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 2 10
Draws 0 5
Losses 28 16
Goals Scored 0.67 1.03
Goals Conceded 3.2 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
River Melilla vs Loja
2:5
Sep 20, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Loja vs River Melilla
3:0
Feb 11, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
River Melilla vs Loja
0:0
Oct 9, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Loja vs River Melilla
9:0
Mar 27, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Loja vs River Melilla
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

River Melilla 10 / 100
Loja 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
River Melilla Loja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Loja Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Loja has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Loja lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: River Melilla scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Loja
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

River Melilla

(Home)
19 May
UD San Pedro
3 : 2
River Melilla
11 May
River Melilla
0 : 3
Antequera
04 May
Torremolinos
5 : 0
River Melilla
01 May
River Melilla
2 : 5
Loja
27 Apr
River Melilla
1 : 5
Alhaurin
Page 1 of 6

Loja

(Away)
22 Aug
Loja
1 : 4
Huetor Tajar
09 Sept
Loja
0 : 1
Ciudad de Lucena
18 Aug
Loja
2 : 0
Antequera
03 Aug
Loja
0 : 1
Torremolinos
06 Jun
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1
Loja
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaga B 38 28 6 4 107:34 90
2 Antequera 38 23 6 9 70:38 75
3 Almeria B 38 21 8 9 61:36 71
4 Huetor Tajar 38 21 8 9 73:48 71
5 Motril 38 21 7 10 71:43 70
6 Loja 38 20 6 12 63:41 66
7 Rincon 38 16 9 13 49:52 57
8 El Palo 38 16 8 14 64:57 56
9 Martos 38 15 8 15 57:54 53
10 Guadix 38 14 9 15 47:51 51
11 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 38 14 6 18 41:51 48
12 Maracena 38 12 10 16 50:54 46
13 UD San Pedro 37 11 12 14 42:49 45
14 Atarfe Industrial 37 11 12 14 42:59 45
15 Velez 38 12 8 18 44:64 44
16 Huetor Vega 38 10 14 14 45:55 44
17 River Melilla 38 10 10 18 47:67 40
18 CD Alhaurino 38 7 10 21 37:67 31
19 Dos Hermanas 38 7 7 24 48:88 28
20 Alhaurin 38 3 10 25 39:89 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)