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River-PI vs Corisabba

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Silva Osorio L. T.
62' Event
Ju Alagoano
68' Event
Ronald Bele

AI Match Summary

The Piauiense 2024 game between River-PI and Corisabba finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward River-PI.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
River-PI
30%
Draws
16%
Corisabba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: River-PI

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and River-PI come out ahead of Corisabba on wins alone.
  • River-PI are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Piauiense 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
River-PI Clean Sheet 20%
Corisabba Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric River-PI Corisabba
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 9 8
Draws 10 9
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.34 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2024 Piauiense
River-PI vs Corisabba
5:1
Feb 25, 2024 Piauiense
Corisabba vs River-PI
1:2
Mar 25, 2023 Piauiense
Corisabba vs River-PI
1:1
Feb 4, 2023 Piauiense
River-PI vs Corisabba
2:0
Feb 20, 2022 Piauiense
Corisabba vs River-PI
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

River-PI Compare

Top Goalscorer Ju Alagoano
2 Goals
Assists Leader Silva Osorio L. T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Corisabba Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

River-PI 85 / 100
Corisabba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
River-PI Corisabba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick River-PI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

River-PI's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Corisabba conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: River-PI remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

River-PI VS Corisabba
1.29 Goals Scored 1.25
1.29 Goals Conceded 0.75
71% Over 1.5 63%
71% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

River-PI

(Home)
26 Sept
River-PI
3 : 1
Julho Esporte
19 Sept
Comercial PI
2 : 1
River-PI
12 Sept
River-PI
2 : 2
Flamengo PI
08 Sept
Caicara
1 : 3
River-PI
05 Sept
River-PI
0 : 3
Picos
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Corisabba

(Away)
22 Feb
Corisabba
0 : 0
Piaui
12 Feb
AE Altos
3 : 1
Corisabba
07 Feb
Corisabba
1 : 1
Fluminense-PI
31 Jan
Oeirense
3 : 1
Corisabba
25 Jan
Atletico-PI
3 : 0
Corisabba
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River-PI 8 6 1 1 17:6 19
2 Oeirense 8 6 1 1 13:4 19
3 AE Altos 8 5 2 1 12:7 17
4 Parnahyba 8 4 3 1 10:4 15
5 Fluminense-PI 8 2 2 4 9:10 8
6 Julho Esporte 8 2 2 4 7:10 8
7 Picos 8 0 2 6 7:18 2
8 Corisabba 8 0 1 7 4:20 1
Promotion - Piauiense 2024 (Play Offs)