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River-PI vs Corisabba

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Silva Osorio L. T.
62' Event
Ju Alagoano
68' Event
Ronald Bele

AI Match Summary

The Piauiense 2024 game between River-PI and Corisabba finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward River-PI.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
River-PI
39%
Draws
31%
Corisabba
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and River-PI come out ahead of Corisabba on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Piauiense 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
River-PI Clean Sheet 20%
Corisabba Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric River-PI Corisabba
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 10 8
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.6 1
Goals Conceded 1 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.60 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2024 Piauiense
River-PI vs Corisabba
5:1
Feb 25, 2024 Piauiense
Corisabba vs River-PI
1:2
Mar 25, 2023 Piauiense
Corisabba vs River-PI
1:1
Feb 4, 2023 Piauiense
River-PI vs Corisabba
2:0
Feb 20, 2022 Piauiense
Corisabba vs River-PI
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

River-PI Compare

Top Goalscorer Ju Alagoano
2 Goals
Assists Leader Silva Osorio L. T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.3

Corisabba Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

River-PI 31 / 100
Corisabba 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
River-PI Corisabba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

River-PI's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Defensive concern: Corisabba conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: River-PI remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

River-PI VS Corisabba
0.6 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
60% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

River-PI

(Home)
01 Mar
Piaui
2 : 0
River-PI
22 Feb
River-PI
1 : 0
Piaui
17 Feb
River-PI
1 : 1
Fluminense-PI
08 Feb
AE Altos
1 : 0
River-PI
03 Feb
River-PI
1 : 1
Atletico-PI
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Corisabba

(Away)
22 Feb
Corisabba
0 : 0
Piaui
12 Feb
AE Altos
3 : 1
Corisabba
07 Feb
Corisabba
1 : 1
Fluminense-PI
31 Jan
Oeirense
3 : 1
Corisabba
25 Jan
Atletico-PI
3 : 0
Corisabba
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River-PI 8 6 1 1 17:6 19
2 Oeirense 8 6 1 1 13:4 19
3 AE Altos 8 5 2 1 12:7 17
4 Parnahyba 8 4 3 1 10:4 15
5 Fluminense-PI 8 2 2 4 9:10 8
6 Julho Esporte 8 2 2 4 7:10 8
7 Picos 8 0 2 6 7:18 2
8 Corisabba 8 0 1 7 4:20 1
Promotion - Piauiense 2024 (Play Offs)