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River-PI vs Fluminense-PI

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2025 Estadio Governador Alberto Tavares Silva (Albertao), Teresina
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
David Farias
60' Event
Kieza
76'
Guerreiro M.

AI Match Summary

The Piauiense 2025 game between River-PI and Fluminense-PI finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
River-PI
30%
Draws
31%
Fluminense-PI
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: River-PI

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fluminense-PI come out ahead of River-PI on wins alone.
  • River-PI are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Piauiense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
River-PI Clean Sheet 20%
Fluminense-PI Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric River-PI Fluminense-PI
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 7 10
Draws 9 13
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2025 Piauiense
River-PI vs Fluminense-PI
1:1
Jan 25, 2025 Piauiense
Fluminense-PI vs River-PI
4:1
Jun 29, 2024 Serie D
River-PI vs Fluminense-PI
2:2
May 19, 2024 Serie D
Fluminense-PI vs River-PI
2:0
Apr 15, 2023 Piauiense
River-PI vs Fluminense-PI
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

River-PI Compare

Top Goalscorer Kieza
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Fluminense-PI Compare

Top Goalscorer David Farias
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

River-PI 36 / 100
Fluminense-PI 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
River-PI Fluminense-PI

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

River-PI scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Fluminense-PI's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 34 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: River-PI stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fluminense-PI
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

River-PI

(Home)
01 Mar
Piaui
2 : 0
River-PI
22 Feb
River-PI
1 : 0
Piaui
17 Feb
River-PI
1 : 1
Fluminense-PI
08 Feb
AE Altos
1 : 0
River-PI
03 Feb
River-PI
1 : 1
Atletico-PI
Page 1 of 6

Fluminense-PI

(Away)
27 Jun
America RN
1 : 0
Fluminense-PI
20 Jun
Fluminense-PI
0 : 3
America RN
13 Jun
Ferroviario
1 : 0
Fluminense-PI
31 May
Fluminense-PI
1 : 1
AE Altos
23 May
Piaui
0 : 1
Fluminense-PI
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AE Altos 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Fluminense-PI 6 2 3 1 7:4 9
3 Atletico-PI 6 1 4 1 7:7 7
4 River-PI 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
Promotion - Piauiense 2025 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Piaui 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
2 Parnahyba 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
3 Oeirense 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
4 Julho Esporte 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
Promotion - Piauiense 2025 (Second stage)