Sport Picks

Stadium Background

River-PI vs Julho Esporte

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2 Estadio Governador Alberto Tavares Silva (Albertao), Teresina
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

River-PI host Julho Esporte in the Piauiense 2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. River-PI have averaged 1.47 scored and 1.26 conceded recently, against Julho Esporte's 1.22 scored and 1.34 conceded. Past meetings favor River-PI slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 17, 2024, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Julho Esporte. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
River-PI
30%
Draws
39%
Julho Esporte
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Julho Esporte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and River-PI come out ahead of Julho Esporte on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
River-PI Clean Sheet 20%
Julho Esporte Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric River-PI Julho Esporte
Matches Played 38 32
Wins 15 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.47 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2024 Piauiense
River-PI vs Julho Esporte
1:1
Jan 27, 2024 Piauiense
Julho Esporte vs River-PI
0:1
Feb 15, 2023 Piauiense
River-PI vs Julho Esporte
2:1
Jan 15, 2023 Piauiense
Julho Esporte vs River-PI
1:1
Mar 25, 2022 Piauiense
River-PI vs Julho Esporte
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

River-PI 32 / 100
Julho Esporte 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
River-PI Julho Esporte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: River-PI scored in 71% of their last 38 outings.

Julho Esporte has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

River-PI has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

River-PI VS Julho Esporte
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

River-PI

(Home)
19 Sept
Comercial PI
2 : 1
River-PI
12 Sept
River-PI
2 : 2
Flamengo PI
08 Sept
Caicara
1 : 3
River-PI
05 Sept
River-PI
0 : 3
Picos
01 Mar
Piaui
2 : 0
River-PI
Page 1 of 8

Julho Esporte

(Away)
19 Sept
Julho Esporte
3 : 3
Picos
16 Sept
Comercial PI
1 : 1
Julho Esporte
09 Sept
Flamengo PI
1 : 0
Julho Esporte
05 Sept
Julho Esporte
3 : 0
Caicara
02 Mar
AE Altos
4 : 0
Julho Esporte
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Picos 4 3 1 0 13:5 10
2 Flamengo PI 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 Comercial PI 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
4 Julho Esporte 4 1 2 1 7:5 5
5 River-PI 4 1 1 2 6:8 4
6 Caicara 4 0 0 4 3:15 0
Promotion - Piauiense 2 (Play Offs)