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Stadium Background

River-PI vs Picos

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2 Estadio Governador Alberto Tavares Silva (Albertao), Teresina
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Picos in this Piauiense 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Picos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
River-PI
30%
Draws
39%
Picos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Picos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • River-PI have won more games recently than Picos.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors River-PI here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
River-PI Clean Sheet 23%
Picos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric River-PI Picos
Matches Played 38 28
Wins 15 5
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.37 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Piauiense 2
River-PI vs Picos
0:3
Jan 30, 2024 Piauiense
Picos vs River-PI
1:2
Jan 13, 2024 Piauiense
River-PI vs Picos
3:0
Apr 21, 2021 Piauiense
River-PI vs Picos
3:2
Feb 24, 2021 Piauiense
Picos vs River-PI
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

River-PI 37 / 100
Picos 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
River-PI Picos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Picos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Picos conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

River-PI found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (38 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: River-PI stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

River-PI VS Picos
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

River-PI

(Home)
05 Sept
River-PI
0 : 3
Picos
01 Mar
Piaui
2 : 0
River-PI
22 Feb
River-PI
1 : 0
Piaui
17 Feb
River-PI
1 : 1
Fluminense-PI
08 Feb
AE Altos
1 : 0
River-PI
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Picos

(Away)
05 Sept
River-PI
0 : 3
Picos
18 Oct
Corisabba
1 : 0
Picos
11 Oct
Picos
0 : 0
TEC
04 Oct
Flamengo PI
3 : 0
Picos
01 Oct
Picos
2 : 2
Caicara
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo PI 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
2 River-PI 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
3 Picos 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
4 Julho Esporte 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
5 Comercial PI 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Caicara 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - Piauiense 2 (Play Offs)