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River Plate vs Rosario Central Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires
River Plate Logo

River Plate

1 - 0
FT
Rosario Central Logo

Rosario Central

Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Ibarra F.
13'
Sub
Driussi S. In: Freitas J.
Out: Driussi S.
24'
Ovando I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
River Plate
15%
Draws
45%
Rosario Central
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rosario Central

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Rosario Central have managed 1.24 goals a game lately — River Plate are scoring more at 1.47.
  • Win probability leans River Plate's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Rosario Central, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
River Plate Clean Sheet 20%
Rosario Central Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric River Plate Rosario Central
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.47 1.24
Goals Conceded 1 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Liga Profesional
River Plate vs Rosario Central
0:1
May 16, 2026 Liga Profesional
River Plate vs Rosario Central
1:0
Feb 2, 2026 Liga Profesional
Rosario Central vs River Plate
0:0
Oct 6, 2025 Liga Profesional
Rosario Central vs River Plate
2:1
Mar 30, 2025 Liga Profesional
River Plate vs Rosario Central
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

River Plate 36 / 100
Rosario Central 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
River Plate Rosario Central

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: River Plate scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Rosario Central conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: River Plate remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

River Plate VS Rosario Central
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

River Plate

(Home)
19 Sept
River Plate
1 : 2
Huracan
12 Sept
Atl. Tucuman
1 : 2
River Plate
06 Sept
River Plate
3 : 1
Ind. Rivadavia
30 Aug
Banfield
2 : 3
River Plate
27 Aug
River Plate
1 : 2
Santa Fe
Page 1 of 6

Rosario Central

(Away)
26 Sept
Estudiantes L.P.
1 : 3
Rosario Central
20 Sept
Rosario Central
1 : 0
Argentinos Jrs
13 Sept
Tigre
0 : 1
Rosario Central
06 Sept
Rosario Central
1 : 1
Newells Old Boys
29 Aug
Rosario Central
1 : 2
Gimnasia L.P.
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Rosario Central 3
Independiente 1
Estudiantes L.P. 0
Racing Club 1
River Plate 3
San Lorenzo 2
Velez Sarsfield 0
Gimnasia L.P. 1
Talleres Cordoba 0
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 1
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Union de Santa Fe 2
Argentinos Jrs 2
Lanus 0
Boca Juniors 2
Huracan 3
Quarter-finals
Rosario Central 2
Racing Club 1
River Plate 2
Gimnasia L.P. 0
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2
Union de Santa Fe 0
Argentinos Jrs 1
Huracan 0
Semi-finals
Rosario Central 0
River Plate 1
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2
Argentinos Jrs 1
Final
River Plate 2
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 3