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Riverside Olympic vs Ulverstone

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Windsor Park, Launceston
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Pelletier J.
16' Event
Rodriguez M.
(Penalty)
31' Event
Rai A.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Tasmania game between Riverside Olympic and Ulverstone finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Riverside Olympic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Riverside Olympic
15%
Draws
36%
Ulverstone
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Riverside Olympic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Ulverstone haven't matched Riverside Olympic's recent run of results.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Riverside Olympic taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Riverside Olympic Clean Sheet 68%
Ulverstone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riverside Olympic Ulverstone
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 3 1
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 1.5 2.7
Goals Conceded 2.2 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Riverside Olympic vs Ulverstone
6:0
Mar 29, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Ulverstone vs Riverside Olympic
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Riverside Olympic Compare

Top Goalscorer Rai A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pelletier J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Ulverstone Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riverside Olympic 50 / 100
Ulverstone 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riverside Olympic Ulverstone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riverside Olympic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ulverstone conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Riverside Olympic scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Ulverstone has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Riverside Olympic VS Ulverstone
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Riverside Olympic

(Home)
08 Aug
South Hobart
5 : 2
Riverside Olympic
01 Aug
South East United
3 : 1
Riverside Olympic
25 Jul
Riverside Olympic
0 : 0
Launceston City
18 Jul
Riverside Olympic
2 : 4
Clarence Zebras
10 Jul
Launceston United
0 : 1
Riverside Olympic
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Ulverstone

(Away)
08 Aug
Ulverstone
3 : 4
South East United
02 Aug
Clarence Zebras
1 : 0
Ulverstone
19 Jul
Ulverstone
0 : 2
Glenorchy Knights
11 Jul
South Hobart
2 : 0
Ulverstone
04 Jul
Ulverstone
2 : 1
Kingborough Lions
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