Sport Picks

Turkey

Super Lig 2025/2026 Çaykur Didi Stadyumu

Kocaelispor

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rizespor play Kocaelispor in the Super Lig 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rizespor averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Kocaelispor averaged 0.73 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Rizespor won 2, Kocaelispor won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 20, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Rizespor and 1.00 for Kocaelispor. This points to a Rizespor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Rizespor

32%

Draws

30%

Kocaelispor

Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Rizespor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Rizespor picked up more points recently compared to Kocaelispor.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 46%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Rizespor Clean Sheet 23%

Kocaelispor Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rizespor	Kocaelispor
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	8
Draws	8	9
Losses	12	13
Goals Scored	1.67	0.73
Goals Conceded	1.7	1.03
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 Super Lig

Rizespor vs Kocaelispor

Possession: 53% - 40% Cards: 0 - 1

2:0

Sep 21, 2025 Super Lig

Kocaelispor vs Rizespor

Possession: 59% - 42% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Jul 18, 2021 Club Friendly

Rizespor vs Kocaelispor

Possession: 56% - 60% Cards: 4 - 1

2:3

May 9, 2010 1. Lig

Kocaelispor vs Rizespor

Possession: 47% - 48% Cards: 1 - 3

1:3

Dec 20, 2009 1. Lig

Rizespor vs Kocaelispor

Possession: 49% - 41% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rizespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Mihaila V.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Akaydin S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Kocaelispor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rizespor 39 / 100

Kocaelispor 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rizespor Kocaelispor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Rizespor or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15%

2.50

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rizespor attacking → ← attacking Kocaelispor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rizespor scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Kocaelispor let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Rizespor went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Kocaelispor lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 33

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Galatasaray	34	24	5	5	77:30	77
2	Fenerbahce	34	21	11	2	77:37	74
3	Trabzonspor	34	20	9	5	61:39	69
4	Besiktas	34	17	9	8	59:40	60
5	Basaksehir	34	16	9	9	58:35	57
6	Goztepe	34	14	13	7	42:32	55
7	Samsunspor	34	13	12	9	46:45	51
8	Rizespor	34	10	11	13	46:52	41
9	Konyaspor	34	10	10	14	43:50	40
10	Kocaelispor	34	9	10	15	26:38	37
11	Alanyaspor	34	7	16	11	41:41	37
12	Gaziantep	34	9	10	15	43:58	37
13	Kasimpasa	34	8	11	15	33:49	35
14	Genclerbirligi	34	9	7	18	36:47	34
15	Eyupspor	34	8	9	17	33:48	33
16	Antalyaspor	34	8	8	18	33:55	32
17	Kayserispor	34	6	12	16	27:62	30
18	F. Karagumruk	34	8	6	20	31:54	30