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RKC SC vs Thunder Bay Chill

USA USA

USL League Two 2024
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AI Match Summary

Thunder Bay Chill in this USL League Two 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Thunder Bay Chill.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
RKC SC
15%
Draws
51%
Thunder Bay Chill
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thunder Bay Chill

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • RKC SC haven't matched Thunder Bay Chill's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Thunder Bay Chill taking it.
  • Regular USL League Two 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Thunder Bay Chill here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
RKC SC Clean Sheet 20%
Thunder Bay Chill Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RKC SC Thunder Bay Chill
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 21
Draws 6 3
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.94 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2024 USL League Two
RKC SC vs Thunder Bay Chill
0:1
Jun 22, 2024 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs RKC SC
2:1
Jun 23, 2023 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs RKC SC
2:0
Jun 17, 2023 USL League Two
RKC SC vs Thunder Bay Chill
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RKC SC 24 / 100
Thunder Bay Chill 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RKC SC Thunder Bay Chill

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thunder Bay Chill Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RKC SC scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Thunder Bay Chill's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: RKC SC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

RKC SC VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

RKC SC

(Home)
12 Jul
RKC SC
5 : 1
River Light
09 Jul
RKC SC
4 : 2
Chicago Dutch Lions
02 Jul
Sueno
5 : 1
RKC SC
25 Jun
Minneapolis City
3 : 1
RKC SC
21 Jun
Chicago Dutch Lions
2 : 0
RKC SC
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Thunder Bay Chill

(Away)
20 Jul
Peoria IL
2 : 0
Thunder Bay Chill
13 Jul
Minneapolis City
2 : 1
Thunder Bay Chill
11 Jul
St. Croix
1 : 2
Thunder Bay Chill
07 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
2 : 0
Rochester FC
05 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
3 : 2
Minneapolis City
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