Sport Picks

Stadium Background

RNK Split vs Neretva Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South Stadion Park Mladeži, Split
RNK Split Logo

RNK Split

2 - 1
FT
Neretva Logo

Neretva

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL South game between RNK Split and Neretva finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward RNK Split.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
RNK Split
15%
Draws
48%
Neretva
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Neretva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • RNK Split haven't matched Neretva's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Neretva a 48% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors RNK Split here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
RNK Split Clean Sheet 14%
Neretva Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RNK Split Neretva
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.4 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2022 3. HNL South
RNK Split vs Neretva
2:1
Oct 16, 2021 3. HNL South
Neretva vs RNK Split
0:1
Jun 12, 2021 3. HNL South
RNK Split vs Neretva
4:1
Mar 13, 2021 3. HNL South
Neretva vs RNK Split
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RNK Split 23 / 100
Neretva 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RNK Split Neretva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neretva Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

RNK Split found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Neretva's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: RNK Split stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

RNK Split VS Neretva
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

RNK Split

(Home)
14 Feb
RNK Split
1 : 3
Din. Zagreb
19 Oct
RNK Split
2 : 0
Cibalia
27 Jul
Dugopolje
1 : 0
RNK Split
28 May
Primorac Biograd
1 : 1
RNK Split
21 May
RNK Split
1 : 0
GOSK Dubrovnik
Page 1 of 6

Neretva

(Away)
22 Aug
Neretva
5 : 2
Otocac
16 Sept
Neretva
1 : 2
Istra 1961
27 Aug
Neretva
6 : 2
Zadrugar Oprisavci
31 Aug
Neretva
0 : 2
Grobnican
28 May
Neretva
1 : 0
Kamen Podbablje
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 34 20 5 9 67:28 65
2 Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 34 18 6 10 56:38 60
3 Hrvace 34 18 6 10 46:39 60
4 HNK Zadar 34 16 11 7 69:28 59
5 Neretva 34 16 7 11 50:36 55
6 RNK Split 34 15 7 12 52:40 52
7 NK Junak Sinj 34 16 4 14 49:46 52
8 Uskok Klis 34 15 6 13 51:54 51
9 Sloga Mravince 34 12 14 8 48:45 50
10 Primorac Biograd 34 14 6 14 60:56 48
11 Zagora 34 12 8 14 47:52 44
12 GOSK Dubrovnik 34 11 10 13 35:34 43
13 Zmaj Makarska 34 11 10 13 28:39 43
14 Neretvanac 34 10 8 16 40:53 38
15 Kamen Podbablje 34 9 10 15 37:51 37
16 Vodice 34 8 9 17 44:73 33
17 Urania Baska Voda 34 10 3 21 33:65 33
18 OSK Otok 34 6 8 20 48:83 26
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)