Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The NNL 2021/2022 game between Road Safety FC and Kogi United finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Road Safety FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
17%
13%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Road Safety FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Kogi United haven't matched Road Safety FC's recent run of results.
- Road Safety FC are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Road Safety FC Clean Sheet 20%
Kogi United Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Road Safety FC | Kogi United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.67 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.33 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 14, 2022 NNL
Kogi United vs Road Safety FC
1:1
Apr 16, 2022 NNL
Road Safety FC vs Kogi United
3:0
May 8, 2021 NNL
Road Safety FC vs Kogi United
1:0
Apr 3, 2021 NNL
Kogi United vs Road Safety FC
1:1
Oct 21, 2018 NNL
Road Safety FC vs Kogi United
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Road Safety FC 67 / 100
Kogi United 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Road Safety FC Kogi United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ROA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Road Safety FC scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
Kogi United let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Away concern: Kogi United has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Road Safety FC VS Kogi United
0.67 Goals Scored 1
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.13
67% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Road Safety FC
(Home) 27 Aug
Road Safety FC
1 : 2 Malumfashi
13 Aug
Nigeria Airforce FC
1 : 0 Road Safety FC
14 Jul
Road Safety FC
1 : 1 DMD
25 Jun
Green Beret
1 : 0 Road Safety FC
22 Jun
Road Safety FC
1 : 0 Jigawa Golden Stars
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27 Aug
Road Safety FC
1 : 2 Malumfashi
14 Jul
Road Safety FC
1 : 1 DMD
22 Jun
Road Safety FC
1 : 0 Jigawa Golden Stars
11 Jun
Road Safety FC
1 : 0 Adamawa Utd
28 May
Road Safety FC
2 : 4 Kebbi
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Kogi United
(Away) 01 Jun
Kogi United
0 : 1 Plateau United
10 Jun
Hypebuzz
4 : 0 Kogi United
20 May
Mighty Jets
1 : 0 Kogi United
13 May
Kogi United
1 : 0 Abubakar Bukola Saraki
07 May
Mailantarki Care
3 : 1 Kogi United
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10 Jun
Hypebuzz
4 : 0 Kogi United
20 May
Mighty Jets
1 : 0 Kogi United
07 May
Mailantarki Care
3 : 1 Kogi United
14 Apr
EFCC FC
1 : 1 Kogi United
02 Apr
Abubakar Bukola Saraki
2 : 0 Kogi United
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Kanemi Warriors | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 30:9 | 37 |
| 2 | City FC Abuja | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 23:16 | 33 |
| 3 | Sokoto United | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 22:16 | 31 |
| 4 | Yobe Stars | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 23:15 | 30 |
| 5 | Mighty Jets | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 23:18 | 29 |
| 6 | ABS | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24:19 | 27 |
| 7 | EFCC FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 16:19 | 27 |
| 8 | Zamfara United | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 19:20 | 26 |
| 9 | FWC Champions | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11:26 | 9 |
| 10 | Oyah Sports | 18 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8:41 | 5 |
Promotion - NPFL 2022/2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Doma United | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 26:14 | 39 |
| 2 | Malumfashi | 20 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Jigawa Golden Stars | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 23:18 | 31 |
| 4 | DMD | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 22:19 | 31 |
| 5 | Green Beret | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 19:13 | 30 |
| 6 | Adamawa Utd | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 18:21 | 30 |
| 7 | Kebbi | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 21:26 | 26 |
| 8 | Nigeria Airforce FC | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | 25 |
| 9 | JM Liberty | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 18:21 | 24 |
| 10 | Road Safety FC | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 16:22 | 21 |
| 11 | Kogi United | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 15:22 | 21 |
Promotion - NPFL 2022/2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bendel | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 32:11 | 49 |
| 2 | Gateway United | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 23:15 | 40 |
| 3 | Ibom Youths | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 31:27 | 32 |
| 4 | Adoration | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 26:27 | 32 |
| 5 | Abeokuta | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 20:19 | 31 |
| 6 | Ekiti United | 22 | 10 | 0 | 12 | 19:32 | 30 |
| 7 | Vandrezzer | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 23:18 | 29 |
| 8 | Ikorodu City | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 26:22 | 29 |
| 9 | Giant Brillars | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 23:21 | 29 |
| 10 | J'Atete FC | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 15:22 | 27 |
| 11 | Osun United | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 23:33 | 26 |
| 12 | Campos | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 16:30 | 16 |
Promotion - NPFL 2022/2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayelsa United | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 37:19 | 44 |
| 2 | Crown FC | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 32:25 | 42 |
| 3 | Warri Wolves | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 32:20 | 40 |
| 4 | Rovers FC | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 24:20 | 39 |
| 5 | Ijebu | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 27:26 | 35 |
| 6 | Go Round | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 22:25 | 35 |
| 7 | Edel FC | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 26:27 | 32 |
| 8 | Abia Comets | 24 | 10 | 2 | 12 | 26:28 | 32 |
| 9 | Cynosure | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 23:20 | 31 |
| 10 | Sporting Lagos | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 22:24 | 30 |
| 11 | One Rocket | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 16:20 | 30 |
| 12 | Apex Krane | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 23:29 | 27 |
| 13 | Ottasolo | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 14:41 | 21 |
Promotion - NPFL 2022/2023 (Main)