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Robert vs Samaritaine

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026
Sat, Apr 25, 2026
0 - 3
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Robert host Samaritaine in the Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026. Little to choose between these two on current form. Robert have averaged 1.14 scored and 1.54 conceded recently, against Samaritaine's 2.17 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, Robert have won 2 to Samaritaine's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 0:3. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 2.00) point toward Samaritaine. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Robert
15%
Draws
42%
Samaritaine
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Robert

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Robert haven't matched Samaritaine's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Robert Clean Sheet 10%
Samaritaine Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Robert Samaritaine
Matches Played 37 41
Wins 11 20
Draws 8 13
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 1.14 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.54 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Robert vs Samaritaine
0:3
Dec 6, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs Robert
1:1
Dec 3, 2022 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs Robert
2:0
Oct 12, 2022 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Robert vs Samaritaine
3:0
May 14, 2022 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Robert vs Samaritaine
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Robert 30 / 100
Samaritaine 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Robert Samaritaine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samaritaine Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Robert's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Defensive concern: Samaritaine conceded in 61% of 41 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Samaritaine's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Robert VS Samaritaine
0.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Robert

(Home)
06 Jun
Robert
2 : 4
Club Peleen
30 May
Aiglon Lamentin
2 : 0
Robert
16 May
Robert
4 : 1
Trenelle
09 May
Inter de Sainte-Anne
3 : 0
Robert
25 Apr
Robert
0 : 3
Samaritaine
Page 1 of 8

Samaritaine

(Away)
06 Jun
Samaritaine
1 : 4
Aiglon Lamentin
30 May
Trenelle
2 : 0
Samaritaine
16 May
Samaritaine
0 : 1
Inter de Sainte-Anne
09 May
Samaritaine
2 : 3
Club Colonial
25 Apr
Robert
0 : 3
Samaritaine
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RC Saint Joseph 26 21 5 0 64:10 94
2 Franciscain 26 20 3 3 54:16 89
3 Golden Lion 26 15 4 7 51:27 75
4 Club Colonial 26 15 2 9 44:30 73
5 Samaritaine 26 11 7 8 49:27 66
6 Club Peleen 26 11 4 11 40:43 63
7 Inter de Sainte-Anne 26 9 7 10 33:31 60
8 Trenelle 26 7 10 9 37:41 57
9 Golden Star 26 9 4 13 32:44 57
10 Morne des Esses 26 8 6 12 28:40 56
11 Espoir 26 8 4 14 30:49 54
12 Aiglon Lamentin 26 6 3 17 33:74 47
13 Robert 26 5 5 16 22:47 46
14 Emulation 26 2 6 18 18:56 38
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Cup 2025 (Main)