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Robres vs Calamocha

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Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026
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Match Events

9' Event
Torcal Guiu D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 game between Robres and Calamocha finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Calamocha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Robres
20%
Draws
73%
Calamocha
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Calamocha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Calamocha come out ahead of Robres on wins alone.
  • Calamocha are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Calamocha here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Robres Clean Sheet 19%
Calamocha Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Robres Calamocha
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 18
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 1.04 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.54 0.61
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Calamocha vs Robres
2:0
Jan 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Robres vs Calamocha
0:1
Apr 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Robres vs Calamocha
0:1
Dec 11, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Calamocha vs Robres
2:0
May 1, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Calamocha vs Robres
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Robres Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Calamocha Compare

Top Goalscorer Torcal Guiu D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Robres 16 / 100
Calamocha 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Robres Calamocha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calamocha Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Robres's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Calamocha let in goals in 39% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Robres remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Robres VS Calamocha
1 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Robres

(Home)
05 Sept
Robres
1 : 2
Fraga
09 May
Robres
0 : 1
La Almunia
03 May
Calamocha
2 : 0
Robres
26 Apr
Epila
1 : 0
Robres
19 Apr
Robres
1 : 1
Huesca B
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Calamocha

(Away)
06 Sept
Calamocha
0 : 1
Terrassa
10 May
CD Carinena
0 : 1
Calamocha
03 May
Calamocha
2 : 0
Robres
26 Apr
Calamocha
1 : 0
Huesca B
19 Apr
CD Cuarte
0 : 0
Calamocha
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Calamocha 34 23 6 5 49:22 75
2 CD Cuarte 34 20 14 0 43:12 74
3 Atletico Monzon 34 23 4 7 73:37 73
4 Epila 34 19 10 5 39:20 67
5 CD Caspe 34 13 14 7 38:26 53
6 Huesca B 34 14 10 10 52:33 52
7 Binefar 34 14 6 14 58:47 48
8 La Almunia 34 11 14 9 42:38 47
9 Almudevar 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Tamarite 34 10 11 13 41:47 41
11 Andorra CF 34 10 9 15 35:45 39
12 CF Illueca 34 9 11 14 35:51 38
13 Robres 34 10 6 18 38:49 36
14 CD Belchite 97 34 7 11 16 28:43 32
15 CD Carinena 34 5 16 13 35:46 31
16 UD Casetas 34 6 12 16 40:56 30
17 Utrillas 34 5 14 15 36:57 29
18 Zuera 34 2 10 22 17:65 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 (Play Offs)