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Roccella vs AS Acireale

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

73'
Samake B.
78' Event
De Felice F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2020/2021 game between Roccella and AS Acireale finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AS Acireale.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Roccella
30%
Draws
23%
AS Acireale
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Roccella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Roccella haven't matched AS Acireale's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans AS Acireale's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors AS Acireale here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Roccella Clean Sheet 20%
AS Acireale Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Roccella AS Acireale
Matches Played 30 43
Wins 5 14
Draws 5 16
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.77 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Roccella vs AS Acireale
0:1
Mar 17, 2021 Serie D - Group I
AS Acireale vs Roccella
6:0
Feb 16, 2020 Serie D - Group I
AS Acireale vs Roccella
3:2
Oct 13, 2019 Serie D - Group I
Roccella vs AS Acireale
1:0
Jan 27, 2019 Serie D - Group I
Roccella vs AS Acireale
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Roccella Compare

Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

AS Acireale Compare

Top Goalscorer De Felice F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roccella 20 / 100
AS Acireale 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Roccella AS Acireale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Acireale Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

AS Acireale's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 43 matches.

Difficult form: AS Acireale registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Roccella scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS AS Acireale
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Roccella

(Home)
03 Jul
FC Messina
7 : 1
Roccella
16 Jun
Roccella
1 : 1
Castrovillari
13 Jun
Gelbison
4 : 0
Roccella
30 May
Roccella
2 : 1
Biancavilla
23 May
Roccella
0 : 1
AS Acireale
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AS Acireale

(Away)
10 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
03 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
26 Apr
AS Acireale
0 : 0
USD Ragusa
19 Apr
Gelbison
2 : 1
AS Acireale
12 Apr
AS Acireale
0 : 0
Nissa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACR Messina 34 21 11 2 66:25 74
2 FC Messina 34 21 9 4 59:25 72
3 Gelbison 34 19 9 6 54:32 66
4 San Luca 34 17 7 10 46:38 58
5 AS Acireale 34 17 6 11 51:32 57
6 Dattilo 34 16 4 14 51:47 52
7 Rotonda 34 13 10 11 31:33 49
8 Santa Maria Cilento 34 10 15 9 43:29 45
9 Biancavilla 34 14 4 16 43:47 45
10 Licata 34 11 10 13 36:39 43
11 Castrovillari 34 10 11 13 39:37 41
12 Paterno 34 10 9 15 28:35 39
13 Cittanovese 34 10 9 15 42:51 39
14 S. Agata 34 8 12 14 32:48 36
15 Troina 34 9 9 16 27:47 36
16 Rende 34 9 7 18 38:58 34
17 Marina di Ragusa 34 8 9 17 38:58 33
18 Roccella 34 5 5 24 25:68 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2020/2021 (Play Offs)