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Roccella vs Rende Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Palermo F.
90' Event
Gozzerini M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2020/2021 game between Roccella and Rende finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rende.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Roccella
20%
Draws
51%
Rende
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rende

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rende come out ahead of Roccella on wins alone.
  • Model gives Rende a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Roccella Clean Sheet 25%
Rende Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Roccella Rende
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 0.77 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Roccella vs Rende
0:2
Dec 20, 2020 Serie D - Group I
Rende vs Roccella
0:2
Jan 8, 2017 Serie D - Group I
Rende vs Roccella
4:1
Sep 4, 2016 Serie D - Group I
Roccella vs Rende
1:2
Mar 20, 2016 Serie D - Group I
Roccella vs Rende
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Roccella Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Rende Compare

Top Goalscorer Palermo F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gozzerini M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roccella 10 / 100
Rende 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Roccella Rende

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rende Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rende's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Roccella scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Roccella remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rende
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Roccella

(Home)
03 Jul
FC Messina
7 : 1
Roccella
16 Jun
Roccella
1 : 1
Castrovillari
13 Jun
Gelbison
4 : 0
Roccella
30 May
Roccella
2 : 1
Biancavilla
23 May
Roccella
0 : 1
AS Acireale
Page 1 of 6

Rende

(Away)
29 May
Castrovillari
0 : 0
Rende
22 May
Lamezia Terme
3 : 1
Rende
15 May
Rende
2 : 0
Real Normanna
08 May
Portici 1906
0 : 2
Rende
04 May
Rende
1 : 2
San Luca
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACR Messina 34 21 11 2 66:25 74
2 FC Messina 34 21 9 4 59:25 72
3 Gelbison 34 19 9 6 54:32 66
4 San Luca 34 17 7 10 46:38 58
5 AS Acireale 34 17 6 11 51:32 57
6 Dattilo 34 16 4 14 51:47 52
7 Rotonda 34 13 10 11 31:33 49
8 Santa Maria Cilento 34 10 15 9 43:29 45
9 Biancavilla 34 14 4 16 43:47 45
10 Licata 34 11 10 13 36:39 43
11 Castrovillari 34 10 11 13 39:37 41
12 Paterno 34 10 9 15 28:35 39
13 Cittanovese 34 10 9 15 42:51 39
14 S. Agata 34 8 12 14 32:48 36
15 Troina 34 9 9 16 27:47 36
16 Rende 34 9 7 18 38:58 34
17 Marina di Ragusa 34 8 9 17 38:58 33
18 Roccella 34 5 5 24 25:68 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2020/2021 (Play Offs)