Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Roccella vs S. Agata

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Coluccio A.
(Penalty)
36' Event
Cicirello G.
(Penalty)
59' Event
Masawoud M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group I 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Roccella
30%
Draws
39%
S. Agata
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: S. Agata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to S. Agata lately — more wins on the board than Roccella.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on S. Agata taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Roccella Clean Sheet 20%
S. Agata Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Roccella S. Agata
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 7
Draws 5 10
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 0.77 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Roccella vs S. Agata
2:2
Jan 6, 2021 Serie D - Group I
S. Agata vs Roccella
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Roccella Compare

Top Goalscorer Masawoud M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

S. Agata Compare

Top Goalscorer Alagna F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roccella 10 / 100
S. Agata 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Roccella S. Agata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick S. Agata Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

S. Agata's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Roccella scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Roccella went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS S. Agata
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Roccella

(Home)
03 Jul
FC Messina
7 : 1
Roccella
16 Jun
Roccella
1 : 1
Castrovillari
13 Jun
Gelbison
4 : 0
Roccella
30 May
Roccella
2 : 1
Biancavilla
23 May
Roccella
0 : 1
AS Acireale
Page 1 of 6

S. Agata

(Away)
11 May
AS Acireale
2 : 2
S. Agata
04 May
Castrumfavara
0 : 2
S. Agata
27 Apr
S. Agata
1 : 3
Scafatese
17 Apr
Sancataldese
2 : 1
S. Agata
13 Apr
S. Agata
1 : 1
Pompei
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACR Messina 34 21 11 2 66:25 74
2 FC Messina 34 21 9 4 59:25 72
3 Gelbison 34 19 9 6 54:32 66
4 San Luca 34 17 7 10 46:38 58
5 AS Acireale 34 17 6 11 51:32 57
6 Dattilo 34 16 4 14 51:47 52
7 Rotonda 34 13 10 11 31:33 49
8 Santa Maria Cilento 34 10 15 9 43:29 45
9 Biancavilla 34 14 4 16 43:47 45
10 Licata 34 11 10 13 36:39 43
11 Castrovillari 34 10 11 13 39:37 41
12 Paterno 34 10 9 15 28:35 39
13 Cittanovese 34 10 9 15 42:51 39
14 S. Agata 34 8 12 14 32:48 36
15 Troina 34 9 9 16 27:47 36
16 Rende 34 9 7 18 38:58 34
17 Marina di Ragusa 34 8 9 17 38:58 33
18 Roccella 34 5 5 24 25:68 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2020/2021 (Play Offs)