Sport Picks
Roccella vs Santa Maria Cilento - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group I 2020/2021 
Match Events
69'
69'
Tandara M.
77'
77'
Guerrisi F.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group I 2020/2021 game between Roccella and Santa Maria Cilento finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Roccella haven't matched Santa Maria Cilento's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular Serie D - Group I 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Roccella Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Maria Cilento Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Roccella | Santa Maria Cilento |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 38 |
| Wins | 5 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 20 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 0.84 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 0.74 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 28, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Roccella vs Santa Maria Cilento
1:1
Nov 1, 2020 Serie D - Group I
Santa Maria Cilento vs Roccella
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Roccella Compare
Top Goalscorer Guerrisi F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52
Santa Maria Cilento Compare
Top Goalscorer Tandara M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.41
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Roccella 32 / 100
Santa Maria Cilento 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Roccella Santa Maria Cilento
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Santa Maria Cilento's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 38 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Santa Maria Cilento lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Roccella scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Santa Maria Cilento
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Roccella
(Home) 03 Jul
FC Messina
7 : 1 Roccella
16 Jun
Roccella
1 : 1 Castrovillari
13 Jun
Gelbison
4 : 0 Roccella
30 May
Roccella
2 : 1 Biancavilla
23 May
Roccella
0 : 1 AS Acireale
Page 1 of 6
16 Jun
Roccella
1 : 1 Castrovillari
30 May
Roccella
2 : 1 Biancavilla
23 May
Roccella
0 : 1 AS Acireale
25 Apr
Roccella
0 : 3 FC Messina
18 Apr
Roccella
2 : 2 S. Agata
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Santa Maria Cilento
(Away) 05 May
Santa Maria Cilento
0 : 3 A.C.D. Nardo
28 Apr
Paganese
4 : 0 Santa Maria Cilento
21 Apr
Citta di Fasano
0 : 3 Santa Maria Cilento
14 Apr
Santa Maria Cilento
0 : 3 Martina Calcio
07 Apr
Angri
0 : 0 Santa Maria Cilento
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28 Apr
Paganese
4 : 0 Santa Maria Cilento
21 Apr
Citta di Fasano
0 : 3 Santa Maria Cilento
07 Apr
Angri
0 : 0 Santa Maria Cilento
24 Mar
Altamura
1 : 0 Santa Maria Cilento
10 Mar
Gravina
1 : 1 Santa Maria Cilento
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ACR Messina | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 66:25 | 74 |
| 2 | FC Messina | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 59:25 | 72 |
| 3 | Gelbison | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 54:32 | 66 |
| 4 | San Luca | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 46:38 | 58 |
| 5 | AS Acireale | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 51:32 | 57 |
| 6 | Dattilo | 34 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 51:47 | 52 |
| 7 | Rotonda | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 31:33 | 49 |
| 8 | Santa Maria Cilento | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 43:29 | 45 |
| 9 | Biancavilla | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 43:47 | 45 |
| 10 | Licata | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 36:39 | 43 |
| 11 | Castrovillari | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 39:37 | 41 |
| 12 | Paterno | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 28:35 | 39 |
| 13 | Cittanovese | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 42:51 | 39 |
| 14 | S. Agata | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 32:48 | 36 |
| 15 | Troina | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 27:47 | 36 |
| 16 | Rende | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 38:58 | 34 |
| 17 | Marina di Ragusa | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 38:58 | 33 |
| 18 | Roccella | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 25:68 | 20 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
