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Rocha vs Uruguay Montevideo FC

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Ferreira D.
Own Goal
63' Event
Torres A.
(Penalty)
85'
Rojano D.

AI Match Summary

Uruguay Montevideo FC in this Segunda Division 2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uruguay Montevideo FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Rocha
40%
Draws
29%
Uruguay Montevideo FC
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Uruguay Montevideo FC at 1.13 per game, Rocha at 0.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Uruguay Montevideo FC have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Rocha Clean Sheet 20%
Uruguay Montevideo FC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rocha Uruguay Montevideo FC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 8
Draws 3 7
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2021 Segunda Division
Rocha vs Uruguay Montevideo FC
1:2
Jul 14, 2021 Segunda Division
Uruguay Montevideo FC vs Rocha
2:1
Dec 8, 2007 Segunda Division
Rocha vs Uruguay Montevideo FC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rocha Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Uruguay Montevideo FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosa D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rocha 32 / 100
Uruguay Montevideo FC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rocha Uruguay Montevideo FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uruguay Montevideo FC let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Rocha found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Uruguay Montevideo FC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Uruguay Montevideo FC
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Albion22135431:1844
2Danubio22125524:1441
3Racing Montevideo22108427:1638
4Defensor Sp.22114733:2137
5CA Cerro22107526:2037
6Central Esp.2296729:2933
7Juventud2285927:2729
8Uruguay Montevideo FC22741121:2725
9Atenas2259820:1724
10Rampla Juniors22561114:3221
11Villa Teresa22461217:3218
12Rocha22431520:3615