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Rocha vs Villa Teresa

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Arismendi M.
50' Event
Alba C.
55'
Alba C.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2021 game between Rocha and Villa Teresa finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Rocha
20%
Draws
46%
Villa Teresa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Villa Teresa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Villa Teresa haven't matched Rocha's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Rocha Clean Sheet 19%
Villa Teresa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rocha Villa Teresa
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 4 9
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 0.94 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2021 Segunda Division
Rocha vs Villa Teresa
1:1
Jul 1, 2021 Segunda Division
Villa Teresa vs Rocha
2:2
Nov 3, 2020 Segunda Division
Villa Teresa vs Rocha
0:0
Sep 7, 2020 Segunda Division
Rocha vs Villa Teresa
1:2
Apr 8, 2015 Segunda Division
Rocha vs Villa Teresa
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rocha Compare

Top Goalscorer Arismendi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Villa Teresa Compare

Top Goalscorer Alba C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rocha 32 / 100
Villa Teresa 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rocha Villa Teresa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villa Teresa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villa Teresa let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Rocha scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Rocha stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rocha VS Villa Teresa
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rocha

(Home)
11 Aug
Potencia
2 : 0
Rocha
21 Sept
Lavalleja (Minas)
:
Rocha
23 Aug
Rocha
0 : 3
Rentistas
03 Aug
Rocha
2 : 1
Huracan Buceo
20 Jul
Rocha
2 : 0
Paso de la Arena
Page 1 of 7

Villa Teresa

(Away)
11 Dec
La Luz
4 : 1
Villa Teresa
06 Dec
Villa Teresa
2 : 0
La Luz
24 Nov
Villa Teresa
1 : 1
Albion
17 Nov
Villa Teresa
0 : 0
Racing Montevideo
09 Nov
Atenas
0 : 1
Villa Teresa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albion 22 13 5 4 31:18 44
2 Danubio 22 12 5 5 24:14 41
3 Racing Montevideo 22 10 8 4 27:16 38
4 Defensor Sp. 22 11 4 7 33:21 37
5 CA Cerro 22 10 7 5 26:20 37
6 Central Esp. 22 9 6 7 29:29 33
7 Juventud 22 8 5 9 27:27 29
8 Uruguay Montevideo FC 22 7 4 11 21:27 25
9 Atenas 22 5 9 8 20:17 24
10 Rampla Juniors 22 5 6 11 14:32 21
11 Villa Teresa 22 4 6 12 17:32 18
12 Rocha 22 4 3 15 20:36 15
Promotion - Primera Division 2022 (Apertura)
Promotion - Segunda Division 2021 (Play Offs)