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Rochedale U23 vs Gold Coast U23

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland U23
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rochedale U23 in this NPL Queensland U23 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rochedale U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Rochedale U23
15%
Draws
42%
Gold Coast U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rochedale U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Rochedale U23 have won more games recently than Gold Coast U23.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Rochedale U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Gold Coast U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rochedale U23 Gold Coast U23
Matches Played 24 22
Wins 18 13
Draws 2 2
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 2.75 2.36
Goals Conceded 1.17 2.05
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
Gold Coast U23 vs Rochedale U23
1:1
Feb 28, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
Rochedale U23 vs Gold Coast U23
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rochedale U23 29 / 100
Gold Coast U23 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rochedale U23 Gold Coast U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rochedale U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rochedale U23 found the back of the net in 96% of recent matches (24 games).

Solid form: Rochedale U23 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Gold Coast U23 let in goals in 77% of their last 22 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Rochedale U23 VS Gold Coast U23
2.38 Goals Scored 2.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rochedale U23

(Home)
13 Sept
Rochedale U23
2 : 0
Moreton City Excelsior U23
28 Aug
Rochedale U23
3 : 1
Moreton City Excelsior U23
16 Aug
Olympic FC U23
1 : 3
Rochedale U23
08 Aug
Magic United TFA FC U23
1 : 4
Rochedale U23
01 Aug
Rochedale U23
3 : 1
Eastern Suburbs U23
Page 1 of 5

Gold Coast U23

(Away)
16 Aug
Gold Coast U23
4 : 3
Eastern Suburbs U23
08 Aug
Brisbane City U23
0 : 1
Gold Coast U23
01 Aug
Gold Coast U23
1 : 0
Gold Coast Knights SC U23
25 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC U23
2 : 4
Gold Coast U23
18 Jul
Gold Coast U23
1 : 0
Queensland Lions U23
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rochedale U23 22 16 2 4 61:27 50
2 Moreton City Excelsior U23 22 14 2 6 60:31 44
3 Queensland Lions U23 22 13 5 4 52:24 44
4 Gold Coast Knights SC U23 22 14 1 7 58:39 43
5 Gold Coast U23 22 13 2 7 52:45 41
6 Eastern Suburbs U23 22 9 4 9 43:32 31
7 QLD State Team U17 22 8 1 13 46:57 25
8 Brisbane City U23 22 7 3 12 42:54 24
9 Olympic FC U23 22 7 2 13 35:55 23
10 Wynnum Wolves U23 22 6 3 13 29:52 21
11 Peninsula U23 22 6 2 14 36:57 20
12 Magic United TFA FC U23 22 5 1 16 27:68 16
Promotion - NPL Queensland U23 (Play Offs)