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Rochedale vs Holland Park Hawks

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League 2021 Underwood Park
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rochedale play Holland Park Hawks in the Queensland Premier League 2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rochedale averaged 1.59 goals scored and 2 conceded. Holland Park Hawks averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.71 conceded. In past meetings, Rochedale won 3, Holland Park Hawks won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 21, 2025 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Rochedale and 1.88 for Holland Park Hawks. This points to a Holland Park Hawks double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Rochedale
18%
Draws
43%
Holland Park Hawks
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Holland Park Hawks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Rochedale picked up more points recently compared to Holland Park Hawks.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Rochedale Clean Sheet 10%
Holland Park Hawks Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rochedale Holland Park Hawks
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.59 1.86
Goals Conceded 2 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Holland Park Hawks vs Rochedale
2:2
Mar 21, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Rochedale vs Holland Park Hawks
2:3
Sep 25, 2021 Queensland Premier League
Holland Park Hawks vs Rochedale
3:4
May 22, 2021 Queensland Premier League
Rochedale vs Holland Park Hawks
3:0
Nov 13, 2020 Queensland Premier League
Holland Park Hawks vs Rochedale
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rochedale 37 / 100
Holland Park Hawks 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rochedale Holland Park Hawks

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Holland Park Hawks or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rochedale attacking → ← attacking Holland Park Hawks

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rochedale scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Holland Park Hawks let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Rochedale went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Holland Park Hawks lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 40
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Brisbane City20200064:1260
2Rochedale20141557:2643
3SWQ Thunder20132547:3241
4Western Pride20102836:3332
5Ipswich Knights2093841:3530
6Mitchelton20911041:4328
7Southside Eagles2066830:3324
8Sunshine Coast2065933:4023
9Souths20501528:5415
10Holland Park Hawks20331429:5412
11Wynnum Wolves20311618:6210