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Rochester FC vs Bavarian United SC

USA USA

USL League Two 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bavarian United SC in this USL League Two 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bavarian United SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Rochester FC
6%
Draws
90%
Bavarian United SC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bavarian United SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rochester FC lately — more wins on the board than Bavarian United SC.
  • Bavarian United SC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Rochester FC Clean Sheet 17%
Bavarian United SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rochester FC Bavarian United SC
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 2 5
Losses 23 18
Goals Scored 1.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2024 USL League Two
Rochester FC vs Bavarian United SC
1:1
Jun 23, 2024 USL League Two
Bavarian United SC vs Rochester FC
1:0
May 23, 2024 USL League Two
Rochester FC vs Bavarian United SC
1:4
Jul 15, 2023 USL League Two
Bavarian United SC vs Rochester FC
0:1
May 20, 2023 USL League Two
Rochester FC vs Bavarian United SC
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rochester FC 10 / 100
Bavarian United SC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rochester FC Bavarian United SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bavarian United SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Rochester FC scored in 63% of their last 38 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Rochester FC has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rochester FC VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rochester FC

(Home)
09 Jul
Rochester FC
1 : 3
St. Croix
07 Jul
Rochester FC
0 : 4
Minneapolis City
02 Jul
Rochester FC
0 : 4
Chicago Dutch Lions
27 Jun
Rochester FC
0 : 2
Rockford Raptors
17 Jun
Rochester FC
2 : 1
RKC SC
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Bavarian United SC

(Away)
19 Jul
Menace
2 : 0
Bavarian United SC
14 Jul
Rochester FC
1 : 1
Bavarian United SC
10 Jul
Bavarian United SC
1 : 1
RKC SC
29 Jun
Bavarian United SC
1 : 3
Thunder Bay Chill
23 Jun
Bavarian United SC
1 : 0
Rochester FC
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