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Rochester FC vs Minneapolis City

USA USA

USL League Two
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Minneapolis City in this USL League Two matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Minneapolis City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Rochester FC
6%
Draws
90%
Minneapolis City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Minneapolis City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Minneapolis City have won more games recently than Rochester FC.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Minneapolis City taking it.
  • Regular USL League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • Minneapolis City have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Rochester FC Clean Sheet 10%
Minneapolis City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rochester FC Minneapolis City
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 25
Draws 1 2
Losses 18 4
Goals Scored 0.63 3.5
Goals Conceded 2.88 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2026 USL League Two
Rochester FC vs Minneapolis City
0:4
May 31, 2026 USL League Two
Minneapolis City vs Rochester FC
8:0
Jun 28, 2025 USL League Two
Minneapolis City vs Rochester FC
2:0
Jun 15, 2025 USL League Two
Rochester FC vs Minneapolis City
1:2
Jun 29, 2024 USL League Two
Minneapolis City vs Rochester FC
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rochester FC 10 / 100
Minneapolis City 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rochester FC Minneapolis City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Rochester FC found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Minneapolis City has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Rochester FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rochester FC VS Minneapolis City
0.63 Goals Scored 3.5
2.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%