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Rochester FC vs St. Croix

USA USA

USL League Two
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Croix in this USL League Two matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Croix.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Rochester FC
6%
Draws
90%
St. Croix
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: St. Croix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • St. Croix haven't matched Rochester FC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives St. Croix a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular USL League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Rochester FC Clean Sheet 10%
St. Croix Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rochester FC St. Croix
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 1 2
Losses 19 19
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.63 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2026 USL League Two
Rochester FC vs St. Croix
1:3
Jun 14, 2026 USL League Two
St. Croix vs Rochester FC
3:0
Jul 11, 2025 USL League Two
Rochester FC vs St. Croix
5:0
Jun 13, 2025 USL League Two
St. Croix vs Rochester FC
2:3
Jun 27, 2024 USL League Two
St. Croix vs Rochester FC
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rochester FC 10 / 100
St. Croix 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rochester FC St. Croix

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Croix let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Rochester FC scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Rochester FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rochester FC VS St. Croix
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%