Sport Picks
Rochester New York vs New York City II
USA
MLS Next Pro 2022 
Match Events
12'
12'
Elias P.
18'
18'
Batiz J.
28'
28'
Williams E.
AI Match Summary
New York City II in this MLS Next Pro 2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored New York City II.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Rochester New York lately — more wins on the board than New York City II.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- New York City II have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Rochester New York Clean Sheet 20%
New York City II Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rochester New York | New York City II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 14 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 14 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 18, 2022 MLS Next Pro
Rochester New York vs New York City II
2:3
Jul 16, 2022 MLS Next Pro
New York City II vs Rochester New York
0:1
Apr 23, 2022 MLS Next Pro
Rochester New York vs New York City II
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rochester New York Compare
Top Goalscorer Becker P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
New York City II Compare
Top Goalscorer Jimenez J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rochester New York 36 / 100
New York City II 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rochester New York New York City II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NYC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rochester New York's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
New York City II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Rochester New York stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS New York City II
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Rochester New York
(Home) 05 Apr
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1 : 0 Rochester New York
24 Sept
Columbus Crew 2
4 : 1 Rochester New York
18 Sept
Rochester New York
2 : 3 New York City II
11 Sept
Toronto FC II
0 : 1 Rochester New York
04 Sept
Philadelphia Union II
1 : 2 Rochester New York
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Rochester New York
2 : 3 New York City II
27 Aug
Rochester New York
2 : 0 New England Revolution II
12 Aug
Rochester New York
1 : 2 Toronto FC II
30 Jul
Rochester New York
1 : 2 Chicago Fire II
22 Jul
Rochester New York
0 : 2 FC Cincinnati 2
Page 1 of 3
New York City II
(Away) 23 Jul
New England Revolution II
3 : 0 New York City II
11 Jul
Crown Legacy
0 : 3 New York City II
26 Jun
CT United FC
1 : 4 New York City II
21 Jun
New York City II
1 : 2 Chattanooga
17 Jun
New York City II
3 : 2 Carolina Core
Page 1 of 6
23 Jul
New England Revolution II
3 : 0 New York City II
11 Jul
Crown Legacy
0 : 3 New York City II
26 Jun
CT United FC
1 : 4 New York City II
14 Jun
Philadelphia Union II
0 : 1 New York City II
17 May
New York Red Bulls II
2 : 3 New York City II
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toronto FC II | 24 | 14 | 0 | 10 | 44:38 | 41 |
| 2 | Rochester New York | 24 | 14 | 0 | 10 | 37:30 | 40 |
| 3 | Philadelphia Union II | 24 | 14 | 0 | 10 | 42:39 | 40 |
| 4 | New York City II | 24 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 49:35 | 37 |
| 5 | New England Revolution II | 24 | 10 | 0 | 14 | 27:42 | 33 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew 2 | 24 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 62:22 | 55 |
| 2 | Inter Miami II | 24 | 11 | 0 | 13 | 40:49 | 36 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire II | 24 | 10 | 0 | 14 | 41:44 | 31 |
| 4 | Orlando City B | 24 | 8 | 0 | 16 | 40:53 | 25 |
| 5 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 18 | 27:65 | 17 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tacoma Defiance | 24 | 17 | 0 | 7 | 57:25 | 49 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 24 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 48:37 | 41 |
| 3 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 24 | 10 | 0 | 14 | 40:40 | 32 |
| 4 | Real Monarchs | 24 | 7 | 0 | 17 | 28:50 | 23 |
| 5 | Portland Timbers 2 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 18 | 29:66 | 14 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Louis City 2 | 24 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 51:34 | 49 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 24 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 38:22 | 49 |
| 3 | North Texas | 24 | 15 | 0 | 9 | 48:31 | 46 |
| 4 | Minnesota United 2 | 24 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 43:39 | 36 |
| 5 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 24 | 11 | 0 | 13 | 33:56 | 31 |
| 6 | Sporting Kansas City II | 24 | 10 | 0 | 14 | 31:38 | 31 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew 2 | 24 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 62:22 | 55 |
| 2 | Toronto FC II | 24 | 14 | 0 | 10 | 44:38 | 41 |
| 3 | Rochester New York | 24 | 14 | 0 | 10 | 37:30 | 40 |
| 4 | Philadelphia Union II | 24 | 14 | 0 | 10 | 42:39 | 40 |
| 5 | New York City II | 24 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 49:35 | 37 |
| 6 | Inter Miami II | 24 | 11 | 0 | 13 | 40:49 | 36 |
| 7 | New England Revolution II | 24 | 10 | 0 | 14 | 27:42 | 33 |
| 8 | Chicago Fire II | 24 | 10 | 0 | 14 | 41:44 | 31 |
| 9 | Orlando City B | 24 | 8 | 0 | 16 | 40:53 | 25 |
| 10 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 18 | 27:65 | 17 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tacoma Defiance | 24 | 17 | 0 | 7 | 57:25 | 49 |
| 2 | St. Louis City 2 | 24 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 51:34 | 49 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 24 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 38:22 | 49 |
| 4 | North Texas | 24 | 15 | 0 | 9 | 48:31 | 46 |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 24 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 48:37 | 41 |
| 6 | Minnesota United 2 | 24 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 43:39 | 36 |
| 7 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 24 | 10 | 0 | 14 | 40:40 | 32 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 24 | 11 | 0 | 13 | 33:56 | 31 |
| 9 | Sporting Kansas City II | 24 | 10 | 0 | 14 | 31:38 | 31 |
| 10 | Real Monarchs | 24 | 7 | 0 | 17 | 28:50 | 23 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers 2 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 18 | 29:66 | 14 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2022 (Play Offs)