Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rochester New York vs Philadelphia Union II

USA USA

MLS Next Pro 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Rayo G.
Assist: Rissi G.
26'
Nkanji N.
28' Event
Rayo G.

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro 2022 game between Rochester New York and Philadelphia Union II finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rochester New York.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Rochester New York
20%
Draws
38%
Philadelphia Union II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rochester New York

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Philadelphia Union II's 1.38 goals per match outpaces what Rochester New York have produced (0).
  • Win probability leans Rochester New York's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Rochester New York have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Rochester New York Clean Sheet 19%
Philadelphia Union II Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rochester New York Philadelphia Union II
Matches Played 31 36
Wins 17 17
Draws 0 1
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2022 MLS Next Pro
Philadelphia Union II vs Rochester New York
1:2
Jul 7, 2022 MLS Next Pro
Rochester New York vs Philadelphia Union II
3:0
May 21, 2022 MLS Next Pro
Rochester New York vs Philadelphia Union II
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rochester New York Compare

Top Goalscorer Rayo G.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Philadelphia Union II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rochester New York 42 / 100
Philadelphia Union II 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rochester New York Philadelphia Union II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rochester New York scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Philadelphia Union II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 36 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Rochester New York has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Philadelphia Union II
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Toronto FC II241401044:3841
2Rochester New York241401037:3040
3Philadelphia Union II241401042:3940
4New York City II241301149:3537
5New England Revolution II241001427:4233
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 224180662:2255
2Inter Miami II241101340:4936
3Chicago Fire II241001441:4431
4Orlando City B24801640:5325
5FC Cincinnati 224601827:6517
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tacoma Defiance24170757:2549
2San Jose Earthquakes II241301148:3741
3Vancouver Whitecaps 2241001440:4032
4Real Monarchs24701728:5023
5Portland Timbers 224601829:6614
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1St. Louis City 224160851:3449
2Houston Dynamo 224160838:2249
3North Texas24150948:3146
4Minnesota United 2241301143:3936
5Colorado Rapids 2241101333:5631
6Sporting Kansas City II241001431:3831
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 224180662:2255
2Toronto FC II241401044:3841
3Rochester New York241401037:3040
4Philadelphia Union II241401042:3940
5New York City II241301149:3537
6Inter Miami II241101340:4936
7New England Revolution II241001427:4233
8Chicago Fire II241001441:4431
9Orlando City B24801640:5325
10FC Cincinnati 224601827:6517
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tacoma Defiance24170757:2549
2St. Louis City 224160851:3449
3Houston Dynamo 224160838:2249
4North Texas24150948:3146
5San Jose Earthquakes II241301148:3741
6Minnesota United 2241301143:3936
7Vancouver Whitecaps 2241001440:4032
8Colorado Rapids 2241101333:5631
9Sporting Kansas City II241001431:3831
10Real Monarchs24701728:5023
11Portland Timbers 224601829:6614