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Rockdale Ilinden vs Manly Utd

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Rockdale Ilinden Sports Centre, Sydney
Sun, Aug 2, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rockdale Ilinden host Manly Utd in the NPL NSW. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Manly Utd have shipped 0.88 goals a game lately, while Rockdale Ilinden have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.25. Head-to-head, Rockdale Ilinden have won 1 to Manly Utd's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 4:1. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.19, favoring Rockdale Ilinden. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Rockdale Ilinden
40%
Draws
29%
Manly Utd
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Rockdale Ilinden carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Rockdale Ilinden Clean Sheet 20%
Manly Utd Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rockdale Ilinden Manly Utd
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 NPL NSW
Manly Utd vs Rockdale Ilinden
4:1
Aug 24, 2025 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs Manly Utd
0:0
May 9, 2025 NPL NSW
Manly Utd vs Rockdale Ilinden
1:1
Jun 16, 2024 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs Manly Utd
4:0
Mar 9, 2024 NPL NSW
Manly Utd vs Rockdale Ilinden
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rockdale Ilinden 32 / 100
Manly Utd 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rockdale Ilinden Manly Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rockdale Ilinden scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Manly Utd conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Rockdale Ilinden stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rockdale Ilinden VS Manly Utd
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rockdale Ilinden

(Home)
26 Jul
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 3
Sutherland Sharks
18 Jul
St George Saints
1 : 6
Rockdale Ilinden
12 Jul
Sydney Utd
1 : 0
Rockdale Ilinden
05 Jul
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 1
NWS Spirit
28 Jun
APIA Leichhardt
0 : 2
Rockdale Ilinden
Page 1 of 6

Manly Utd

(Away)
24 Jul
Manly Utd
4 : 0
Sydney Olympic
17 Jul
Sydney FC U23
0 : 0
Manly Utd
11 Jul
Manly Utd
2 : 1
Sutherland Sharks
04 Jul
Manly Utd
1 : 0
SD Raiders
27 Jun
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
3 : 3
Manly Utd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1APIA Leichhardt25183456:3157
2Marconi Stallions25174446:1755
3Sydney Utd25163635:1851
4Sutherland Sharks251231040:3239
5Rockdale Ilinden251231043:3639
6Sydney FC U2325106932:3436
7Manly Utd2597929:2934
8Western Sydney Wanderers U2125951149:3932
9Wollongong25951128:3432
10SD Raiders25951135:4232
11UNSW25941236:4031
12NWS Spirit25941228:3431
13Blacktown City25771135:3928
14St. George City25771123:4028
15St George Saints25621723:4520
16Sydney Olympic25541626:5419
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)