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Rockdale Ilinden vs Manly Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Rockdale Ilinden Sports Centre, Sydney
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Najjar M.
45' Event
Ono K.

AI Match Summary

The NPL NSW game between Rockdale Ilinden and Manly Utd finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Rockdale Ilinden
15%
Draws
59%
Manly Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manly Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Manly Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Manly Utd are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Rockdale Ilinden Clean Sheet 16%
Manly Utd Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rockdale Ilinden Manly Utd
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 13
Draws 4 8
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.53 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs Manly Utd
1:1
Apr 19, 2026 NPL NSW
Manly Utd vs Rockdale Ilinden
4:1
Aug 24, 2025 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs Manly Utd
0:0
May 9, 2025 NPL NSW
Manly Utd vs Rockdale Ilinden
1:1
Jun 16, 2024 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs Manly Utd
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rockdale Ilinden Compare

Top Goalscorer Najjar M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Manly Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Ono K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rockdale Ilinden 23 / 100
Manly Utd 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rockdale Ilinden Manly Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manly Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rockdale Ilinden scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Manly Utd conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Rockdale Ilinden stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rockdale Ilinden VS Manly Utd
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rockdale Ilinden

(Home)
30 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
2 : 0
UNSW
21 Aug
Sydney FC U23
2 : 1
Rockdale Ilinden
16 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 2
Wollongong
08 Aug
St. George City
1 : 0
Rockdale Ilinden
02 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 1
Manly Utd
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Manly Utd

(Away)
06 Sept
Sydney Utd
3 : 1
Manly Utd
02 Sept
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2
Manly Utd
30 Aug
Wollongong
0 : 4
Manly Utd
22 Aug
UNSW
0 : 2
Manly Utd
15 Aug
Manly Utd
0 : 4
NWS Spirit
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APIA Leichhardt 30 21 5 4 66:35 68
2 Sydney Utd 30 20 4 6 47:20 64
3 Marconi Stallions 30 19 5 6 50:22 62
4 Sutherland Sharks 30 14 4 12 46:38 46
5 Manly Utd 30 12 8 10 39:35 44
6 NWS Spirit 30 12 5 13 37:38 41
7 SD Raiders 30 12 5 13 44:49 41
8 Sydney FC U23 30 11 8 11 38:43 41
9 Rockdale Ilinden 30 12 4 14 46:44 40
10 Western Sydney Wanderers U21 30 11 5 14 55:49 38
11 Wollongong 30 11 5 14 35:43 38
12 St. George City 30 10 7 13 30:46 37
13 Blacktown City 30 9 8 13 43:46 35
14 UNSW 30 9 5 16 38:49 32
15 St George Saints 30 8 3 19 28:55 27
16 Sydney Olympic 30 6 5 19 32:62 23
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)