Sport Picks
Rockdale Ilinden vs St. George City
Australia
NPL NSW Rockdale Ilinden Sports Centre, Sydney 
Match Events
56'
56'
Van Der Saag H.
AI Match Summary
The NPL NSW game between Rockdale Ilinden and St. George City finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rockdale Ilinden.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rockdale Ilinden
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Rockdale Ilinden come out ahead of St. George City on wins alone.
- Rockdale Ilinden are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Rockdale Ilinden have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Rockdale Ilinden Clean Sheet 20%
St. George City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rockdale Ilinden | St. George City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs St. George City
1:0
May 24, 2025 NPL NSW
St. George City vs Rockdale Ilinden
1:4
Feb 8, 2025 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs St. George City
2:2
May 26, 2024 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs St. George City
2:0
Feb 17, 2024 NPL NSW
St. George City vs Rockdale Ilinden
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rockdale Ilinden Compare
Top Goalscorer Van Der Saag H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
St. George City Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rockdale Ilinden 85 / 100
St. George City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rockdale Ilinden St. George City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ROC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Rockdale Ilinden scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
St. George City let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Rockdale Ilinden remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Rockdale Ilinden VS St. George City
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Rockdale Ilinden
(Home) 18 Jul
St George Saints
1 : 6 Rockdale Ilinden
12 Jul
Sydney Utd
1 : 0 Rockdale Ilinden
05 Jul
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 1 NWS Spirit
28 Jun
APIA Leichhardt
0 : 2 Rockdale Ilinden
20 Jun
Sydney Olympic
0 : 4 Rockdale Ilinden
Page 1 of 6
05 Jul
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 1 NWS Spirit
14 Jun
Rockdale Ilinden
0 : 1 SD Raiders
24 May
Rockdale Ilinden
0 : 5 Western Sydney Wanderers U21
10 May
Rockdale Ilinden
3 : 0 Sydney FC U23
26 Apr
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 0 St. George City
Page 1 of 3
St. George City
(Away) 19 Jul
Blacktown City
3 : 0 St. George City
11 Jul
St. George City
0 : 2 UNSW
05 Jul
Wollongong
3 : 3 St. George City
27 Jun
SD Raiders
3 : 1 St. George City
20 Jun
St. George City
1 : 0 NWS Spirit
Page 1 of 6
19 Jul
Blacktown City
3 : 0 St. George City
05 Jul
Wollongong
3 : 3 St. George City
27 Jun
SD Raiders
3 : 1 St. George City
13 Jun
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
1 : 1 St. George City
30 May
St George Saints
0 : 1 St. George City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marconi Stallions | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 45:15 | 55 |
| 2 | APIA Leichhardt | 24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 52:30 | 54 |
| 3 | Sydney Utd | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 35:17 | 51 |
| 4 | Rockdale Ilinden | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 42:33 | 39 |
| 5 | Sutherland Sharks | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 37:31 | 36 |
| 6 | Sydney FC U23 | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 32:34 | 35 |
| 7 | Wollongong | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:32 | 32 |
| 8 | UNSW | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 35:36 | 31 |
| 9 | NWS Spirit | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28:30 | 31 |
| 10 | Manly Utd | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 25:29 | 31 |
| 11 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 45:39 | 29 |
| 12 | SD Raiders | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 33:41 | 29 |
| 13 | Blacktown City | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 33:39 | 25 |
| 14 | St. George City | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 22:40 | 25 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 24 | 6 | 1 | 17 | 23:45 | 19 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 26:50 | 19 |
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)