Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rockdale Ilinden vs UNSW - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Rockdale Ilinden Sports Centre, Sydney
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Wohlfiel T.
Own Goal
45' Event
Najjar M.

AI Match Summary

The NPL NSW game between Rockdale Ilinden and UNSW finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rockdale Ilinden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Rockdale Ilinden
20%
Draws
16%
UNSW
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rockdale Ilinden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rockdale Ilinden come out ahead of UNSW on wins alone.
  • Model gives Rockdale Ilinden a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Rockdale Ilinden Clean Sheet 17%
UNSW Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rockdale Ilinden UNSW
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.53 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs UNSW
2:0
May 16, 2026 NPL NSW
UNSW vs Rockdale Ilinden
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rockdale Ilinden Compare

Top Goalscorer Najjar M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

UNSW Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rockdale Ilinden 84 / 100
UNSW 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rockdale Ilinden UNSW

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rockdale Ilinden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rockdale Ilinden's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

UNSW's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: UNSW has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rockdale Ilinden VS UNSW
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Rockdale Ilinden

(Home)
30 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
2 : 0
UNSW
21 Aug
Sydney FC U23
2 : 1
Rockdale Ilinden
16 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 2
Wollongong
08 Aug
St. George City
1 : 0
Rockdale Ilinden
02 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 1
Manly Utd
Page 1 of 6

UNSW

(Away)
30 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
2 : 0
UNSW
22 Aug
UNSW
0 : 2
Manly Utd
16 Aug
Blacktown City
0 : 0
UNSW
08 Aug
UNSW
1 : 3
Sydney Olympic
01 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
2 : 1
UNSW
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APIA Leichhardt 30 21 5 4 66:35 68
2 Sydney Utd 30 20 4 6 47:20 64
3 Marconi Stallions 30 19 5 6 50:22 62
4 Sutherland Sharks 30 14 4 12 46:38 46
5 Manly Utd 30 12 8 10 39:35 44
6 NWS Spirit 30 12 5 13 37:38 41
7 SD Raiders 30 12 5 13 44:49 41
8 Sydney FC U23 30 11 8 11 38:43 41
9 Rockdale Ilinden 30 12 4 14 46:44 40
10 Western Sydney Wanderers U21 30 11 5 14 55:49 38
11 Wollongong 30 11 5 14 35:43 38
12 St. George City 30 10 7 13 30:46 37
13 Blacktown City 30 9 8 13 43:46 35
14 UNSW 30 9 5 16 38:49 32
15 St George Saints 30 8 3 19 28:55 27
16 Sydney Olympic 30 6 5 19 32:62 23
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)