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Rockdale Ilinden vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Rockdale Ilinden Sports Centre
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Morrison O.
43'
Elliott H.
45' Event
Abdul-Rahman A.

AI Match Summary

The NPL NSW game between Rockdale Ilinden and Western Sydney Wanderers U21 finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Western Sydney Wanderers U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Rockdale Ilinden
6%
Draws
4%
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rockdale Ilinden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rockdale Ilinden come out ahead of Western Sydney Wanderers U21 on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Rockdale Ilinden taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Rockdale Ilinden Clean Sheet 10%
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rockdale Ilinden Western Sydney Wanderers U21
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.25 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21
0:5
Feb 8, 2026 NPL NSW
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 vs Rockdale Ilinden
0:2
Jul 1, 2023 NPL NSW
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 vs Rockdale Ilinden
3:3
Mar 19, 2023 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21
5:1
Sep 6, 2020 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rockdale Ilinden Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Morrison O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdul-Rahman A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rockdale Ilinden 83 / 100
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rockdale Ilinden Western Sydney Wanderers U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Rockdale Ilinden scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Western Sydney Wanderers U21 conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Rockdale Ilinden has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rockdale Ilinden VS Western Sydney Wanderers U21
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marconi Stallions23174245:1455
2APIA Leichhardt23163447:2751
3Sydney Utd23153534:1748
4Rockdale Ilinden23113936:3236
5Sutherland Sharks231121036:3035
6Sydney FC U2324105932:3435
7Wollongong2395926:2932
8NWS Spirit23941027:2731
9Manly Utd2487925:2931
10Western Sydney Wanderers U2123851042:3429
11UNSW23841132:3528
12SD Raiders23751130:3926
13St. George City23671022:3725
14Blacktown City23571130:3922
15St George Saints23611622:3919
16Sydney Olympic23531525:4918