Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Roda vs Jong PSV

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 Parkstad Limburg Stadion, Kerkrade
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Bouhoudane S.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Griffith I. In: Kalinauskas T.
Out: Griffith I.
56'
Sub
Koller J. In: Bahaty M.
Out: Koller J.

AI Match Summary

Jong PSV in this Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jong PSV.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Roda
15%
Draws
28%
Jong PSV
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Roda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jong PSV lately — more wins on the board than Roda.
  • Roda are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Roda Clean Sheet 20%
Jong PSV Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Roda Jong PSV
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 8 2
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.71 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs Jong PSV
0:2
Sep 15, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs Roda
0:1
Jul 18, 2025 Club Friendly
Jong PSV vs Roda
1:1
Mar 7, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs Jong PSV
2:1
Dec 9, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs Roda
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Roda Compare

Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Jong PSV Compare

Top Goalscorer Kluit F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roda 67 / 100
Jong PSV 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Roda Jong PSV

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Roda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong PSV's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Roda's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Difficult form: Jong PSV registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Roda VS Jong PSV
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Roda

(Home)
14 Aug
Roda
2 : 1
Helmond Sport
07 Aug
FC Emmen
1 : 0
Roda
01 Aug
Roda
2 : 4
Alemannia Aachen
17 Jul
Roda
1 : 0
Beerschot VA
10 Jul
Cambuur
2 : 1
Roda
Page 1 of 6

Jong PSV

(Away)
14 Aug
Almere City
3 : 1
Jong PSV
10 Aug
Jong PSV
3 : 2
FC Volendam
18 Jul
Jong PSV
2 : 4
Genk U23
24 Apr
Waalwijk
4 : 1
Jong PSV
17 Apr
Jong PSV
0 : 1
Jong Ajax
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Den Haag 38 29 2 7 90:37 89
2 Cambuur 38 23 9 6 75:48 78
3 Willem II 38 20 8 10 59:42 68
4 De Graafschap 38 18 9 11 74:58 63
5 Almere City 38 18 4 16 78:63 58
6 Waalwijk 38 16 10 12 71:59 58
7 Jong PSV 38 17 5 16 66:64 56
8 Roda 38 14 13 11 59:54 55
9 Den Bosch 38 14 9 15 65:69 51
10 Dordrecht 38 12 11 15 48:56 47
11 Eindhoven FC 38 14 5 19 51:69 47
12 Jong Utrecht 38 12 10 16 58:62 46
13 Venlo 38 13 6 19 50:58 45
14 FC Emmen 38 12 9 17 58:72 45
15 Vitesse 38 15 11 12 64:55 44
16 TOP Oss 38 11 11 16 54:64 44
17 Jong AZ Alkmaar 38 12 4 22 61:76 40
18 Helmond Sport 38 10 9 19 42:62 39
19 Maastricht 38 9 11 18 41:73 38
20 Jong Ajax 38 9 8 21 50:73 35
Promotion - Eredivisie (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)