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Roda vs Utiel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026
Roda Logo

Roda

3 - 1
FT
Utiel Logo

Utiel

Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Asaf R.
45' Event
Munoz L.
88' Event
Agudo I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 game between Roda and Utiel finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Roda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Roda
35%
Draws
18%
Utiel
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Roda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Utiel haven't matched Roda's recent run of results.
  • Roda are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Roda Clean Sheet 68%
Utiel Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Roda Utiel
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 4
Draws 5 11
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.14 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Utiel vs Roda
1:1
Apr 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Roda vs Utiel
3:1
Jan 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Utiel vs Roda
2:0
May 24, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Roda vs Utiel
0:0
May 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Utiel vs Roda
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Roda Compare

Top Goalscorer Agudo I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Munoz L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Utiel Compare

Top Goalscorer Asaf R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roda 77 / 100
Utiel 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Roda Utiel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Roda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Roda found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Utiel let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Roda went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Roda VS Utiel
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Roda

(Home)
03 Oct
Roda
2 : 0
SC Torrevieja
27 Sept
Utiel
1 : 1
Roda
19 Sept
Roda
1 : 1
Crevillente
13 Sept
Villarreal C
2 : 1
Roda
06 Sept
Roda
2 : 1
Ontinyent 1931 CF
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Utiel

(Away)
04 Oct
Atletico Saguntino
3 : 2
Utiel
27 Sept
Utiel
1 : 1
Roda
20 Sept
Soneja
2 : 0
Utiel
12 Sept
Utiel
1 : 1
Acero
06 Sept
Vall de Uxo
0 : 0
Utiel
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellonense 34 20 7 7 56:30 67
2 Atletico Saguntino 34 20 6 8 50:30 66
3 Levante B 34 18 11 5 54:26 65
4 Villarreal C 34 19 6 9 63:36 63
5 La Nucia 34 16 13 5 44:26 61
6 CD Bunol 34 13 11 10 34:40 50
7 Vall de Uxo 34 13 10 11 31:29 49
8 Ontinyent 1931 CF 34 13 9 12 32:30 48
9 Torrellano 34 13 8 13 40:38 47
10 Soneja 34 13 6 15 35:42 45
11 Hercules B 34 10 11 13 31:46 41
12 Roda 34 11 7 16 32:45 40
13 Crevillente 34 9 11 14 44:49 38
14 Espanol de San Vicente 34 10 8 16 35:44 38
15 Atzeneta 34 10 7 17 29:39 37
16 Utiel 34 7 10 17 30:45 31
17 Alzira 34 7 10 17 32:49 31
18 Recambios Colon 34 2 13 19 27:55 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 (Play Offs)