Sport Picks

Italy

Serie C2/A 2010/2011

Valenzana

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rodengo Saiano play Valenzana in the Serie C2/A 2010/2011. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rodengo Saiano averaged 0.87 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Valenzana averaged 0.91 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. In past meetings, Rodengo Saiano won 4, Valenzana won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 6, 2011 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Rodengo Saiano and 0.74 for Valenzana. This points to a Rodengo Saiano double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Rodengo Saiano

24%

Draws

33%

Valenzana

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Rodengo Saiano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Rodengo Saiano picked up more points recently compared to Valenzana.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 0.74 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 55%

Over 2.5 Goals 27%

Over 3.5 Goals 16%

Over 4.5 Goals 8%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%

Rodengo Saiano Clean Sheet 27%

Valenzana Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 50%

Second Half Goal 52%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rodengo Saiano	Valenzana
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	10	11
Draws	9	7
Losses	11	14
Goals Scored	0.87	0.91
Goals Conceded	0.93	1.41

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2011 Lega Pro C2/A

Rodengo Saiano vs Valenzana

Possession: 41% - 60% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Sep 19, 2010 Lega Pro C2/A

Valenzana vs Rodengo Saiano

Possession: 54% - 59% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

Mar 7, 2010 Lega Pro C2/A

Valenzana vs Rodengo Saiano

Possession: 49% - 42% Cards: 2 - 1

0:0

Oct 18, 2009 Lega Pro C2/A

Rodengo Saiano vs Valenzana

Possession: 54% - 48% Cards: 1 - 4

1:0

Apr 5, 2009 Lega Pro C2/A

Rodengo Saiano vs Valenzana

Possession: 57% - 52% Cards: 4 - 1

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodengo Saiano 44 / 100

Valenzana 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rodengo Saiano Valenzana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Rodengo Saiano or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +28.5%

4.76

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rodengo Saiano attacking → ← attacking Valenzana

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rodengo Saiano scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Valenzana let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Rodengo Saiano went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Valenzana lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 40

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.38

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tritium	32	17	10	5	49:25	61
2	Pro Patria	32	18	5	9	57:34	59
3	FeralpiSalo	32	16	11	5	36:22	59
4	Savona	32	13	14	5	36:26	53
5	Pro Vercelli	32	12	16	4	36:23	52
6	Renate	32	13	11	8	42:28	50
7	Lecco	32	13	8	11	32:34	47
8	Canavese	32	12	8	12	33:33	44
9	Rodengo Saiano	32	11	10	11	28:29	43
10	Montichiari	32	9	14	9	28:28	41
11	Casale	32	9	10	13	25:41	37
12	Valenzana	32	7	13	12	24:33	34
13	Sambonifacese	32	7	13	12	36:41	34
14	Entella	32	6	14	12	30:35	32
15	Sacilese	32	5	12	15	27:45	27
16	Sanremese	32	5	12	15	24:38	27
17	Mezzocorona	32	6	5	21	24:52	23