Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rodez vs Montpellier - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 Stade Paul-Lignon, Rodez
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rodez host Montpellier in the Ligue 2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Montpellier have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Rodez have conceded 1.41 and scored 1.76. Head-to-head, Rodez have won 2 to Montpellier's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 1, 2026, ending 4:2. xG projections (1.31 - 1.69) back Rodez to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Rodez
20%
Draws
58%
Montpellier
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Montpellier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Rodez's 1.76 goals per match outpaces what Montpellier have produced (1.66).
  • Win probability leans Montpellier's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Rodez Clean Sheet 13%
Montpellier Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodez Montpellier
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 15
Draws 7 8
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.76 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.41 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Montpellier vs Rodez
4:2
Feb 20, 2026 Ligue 2
Rodez vs Montpellier
1:0
Oct 31, 2025 Ligue 2
Montpellier vs Rodez
2:0
Jul 18, 2025 Club Friendly
Montpellier vs Rodez
0:2
Dec 16, 2022 Club Friendly
Montpellier vs Rodez
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodez 22 / 100
Montpellier 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodez Montpellier

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montpellier Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Rodez scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Montpellier conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Rodez has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rodez VS Montpellier
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodez

(Home)
10 Oct
St Etienne
2 : 0
Rodez
03 Oct
Rodez
2 : 0
Inter Escaldes
18 Sept
Rodez
3 : 4
Nancy
11 Sept
Rodez
0 : 1
Grenoble
05 Sept
Metz
4 : 1
Rodez
Page 1 of 6

Montpellier

(Away)
09 Oct
Montpellier
2 : 0
Grenoble
18 Sept
Reims
1 : 1
Montpellier
11 Sept
Montpellier
1 : 0
Pau
05 Sept
St Etienne
3 : 1
Montpellier
28 Aug
Montpellier
0 : 0
Boulogne
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
2 Red Star 8 5 2 1 12:9 17
3 Montpellier 8 4 3 1 8:5 15
4 Reims 8 3 5 0 15:9 14
5 Nancy 8 4 1 3 9:7 13
6 Annecy 8 4 1 3 10:9 13
7 Pau 8 3 2 3 9:8 11
8 Sochaux 8 2 5 1 5:6 11
9 Metz 7 2 4 1 10:7 10
10 Dijon 7 2 3 2 10:10 9
11 Guingamp 8 2 2 4 10:13 8
12 Dunkerque 8 2 2 4 10:13 8
13 Nantes 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
14 Grenoble 8 2 2 4 8:13 8
15 Rodez 8 2 1 5 14:18 7
16 Boulogne 8 0 6 2 4:6 6
17 Clermont 8 0 6 2 6:9 6
18 Laval 8 1 2 5 10:17 5
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)