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Rodina Moscow 2 vs Mashuk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina, Moscow
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Danilov T.
14'
Gystarov R.
27'
Sub
Gystarov R. In: Mkrtychyan A.
Out: Gystarov R.

AI Match Summary

Rodina Moscow 2 in this FNL 2 - Division A Gold matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rodina Moscow 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Rodina Moscow 2
30%
Draws
28%
Mashuk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rodina Moscow 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rodina Moscow 2 lately — more wins on the board than Mashuk.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Rodina Moscow 2 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Rodina Moscow 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Mashuk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodina Moscow 2 Mashuk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 9 17
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.41 1
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Rodina Moscow 2 vs Mashuk
3:1
May 23, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Mashuk vs Rodina Moscow 2
2:2
Apr 4, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Rodina Moscow 2 vs Mashuk
0:0
May 18, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Rodina Moscow 2 vs Mashuk
0:1
Mar 30, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Mashuk vs Rodina Moscow 2
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rodina Moscow 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Danilov T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ushakov E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Mashuk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodina Moscow 2 49 / 100
Mashuk 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodina Moscow 2 Mashuk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rodina Moscow 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rodina Moscow 2 found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Rodina Moscow 2 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Mashuk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Rodina Moscow 2 VS Mashuk
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodina Moscow 2

(Home)
04 Oct
Rodina Moscow 2
3 : 0
Kaluga
27 Sept
Rodina Moscow 2
1 : 3
Sibir Novosibirsk
20 Sept
Dynamo Vladivostok
0 : 1
Rodina Moscow 2
12 Sept
Rodina Moscow 2
3 : 1
Mashuk
05 Sept
Kirov
3 : 2
Rodina Moscow 2
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Mashuk

(Away)
04 Oct
Mashuk
1 : 1
Kirov
27 Sept
Saratov
0 : 0
Mashuk
21 Sept
Mashuk
0 : 0
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
12 Sept
Rodina Moscow 2
3 : 1
Mashuk
06 Sept
Mashuk
3 : 1
Sibir Novosibirsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodina Moscow 2 12 8 2 2 23:10 26
2 Kirov 12 7 3 2 14:9 24
3 Sibir Novosibirsk 12 5 3 4 17:14 18
4 D. Bryansk 12 4 4 4 11:15 16
5 Alania Vladikavkaz 12 3 6 3 16:12 15
6 Dynamo Vladivostok 12 3 5 4 8:9 14
7 Mashuk 12 2 8 2 9:9 14
8 FC Volgar-Astrakhan 12 1 9 2 12:13 12
9 Saratov 12 1 6 5 10:19 9
10 Kaluga 12 0 6 6 6:16 6
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold (Spring Season)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Spring Season)