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Rodina Moscow 3 vs Arsenal Tula 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Morozov N.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 game between Rodina Moscow 3 and Arsenal Tula 2 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rodina Moscow 3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Rodina Moscow 3
20%
Draws
9%
Arsenal Tula 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rodina Moscow 3

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rodina Moscow 3 come out ahead of Arsenal Tula 2 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Rodina Moscow 3's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Rodina Moscow 3 Clean Sheet 20%
Arsenal Tula 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodina Moscow 3 Arsenal Tula 2
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 3
Draws 4 10
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.93 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Rodina Moscow 3 vs Arsenal Tula 2
1:0
Jun 14, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs Rodina Moscow 3
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs Rodina Moscow 3
3:0
Jun 28, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Rodina Moscow 3 vs Arsenal Tula 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rodina Moscow 3 Compare

Top Goalscorer Morozov N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Arsenal Tula 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodina Moscow 3 85 / 100
Arsenal Tula 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodina Moscow 3 Arsenal Tula 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rodina Moscow 3 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal Tula 2 let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Rodina Moscow 3 scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Solid form: Rodina Moscow 3 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rodina Moscow 3 VS Arsenal Tula 2
2 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodina Moscow 3

(Home)
10 Oct
Penza
0 : 1
Rodina Moscow 3
03 Oct
Rodina Moscow 3
1 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
26 Sept
Strogino Moscow
2 : 5
Rodina Moscow 3
19 Sept
Rodina Moscow 3
3 : 2
SKA Khabarovsk 2
12 Sept
FK Shumbrat Saransk
2 : 3
Rodina Moscow 3
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Arsenal Tula 2

(Away)
03 Oct
Rodina Moscow 3
1 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
27 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
0 : 0
M. Lipetsk
19 Sept
Penza
0 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
13 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 2
Saturn Ramenskoye
06 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 2
Strogino Moscow
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