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Rodina Moscow 3 vs Spartak Tambov - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Mironov A.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 game between Rodina Moscow 3 and Spartak Tambov finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spartak Tambov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Rodina Moscow 3
20%
Draws
34%
Spartak Tambov
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rodina Moscow 3

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Rodina Moscow 3 haven't matched Spartak Tambov's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Rodina Moscow 3 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Spartak Tambov here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Rodina Moscow 3 Clean Sheet 14%
Spartak Tambov Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodina Moscow 3 Spartak Tambov
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 21
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.93 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.59 0.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Rodina Moscow 3 vs Spartak Tambov
0:1
May 16, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Spartak Tambov vs Rodina Moscow 3
1:0
Aug 23, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Spartak Tambov vs Rodina Moscow 3
1:0
May 3, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Rodina Moscow 3 vs Spartak Tambov
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rodina Moscow 3 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Spartak Tambov Compare

Top Goalscorer Mironov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodina Moscow 3 35 / 100
Spartak Tambov 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodina Moscow 3 Spartak Tambov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Rodina Moscow 3 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Rodina Moscow 3's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Spartak Tambov's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.25 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Rodina Moscow 3 VS Spartak Tambov
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodina Moscow 3

(Home)
10 Oct
Penza
0 : 1
Rodina Moscow 3
03 Oct
Rodina Moscow 3
1 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
26 Sept
Strogino Moscow
2 : 5
Rodina Moscow 3
19 Sept
Rodina Moscow 3
3 : 2
SKA Khabarovsk 2
12 Sept
FK Shumbrat Saransk
2 : 3
Rodina Moscow 3
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Spartak Tambov

(Away)
10 Oct
Spartak Tambov
0 : 0
Ryazan
03 Oct
R. Volgograd 2
0 : 1
Spartak Tambov
26 Sept
Spartak Tambov
4 : 0
Kvant Obninsk
19 Sept
Salyut-Belgorod
2 : 2
Spartak Tambov
12 Sept
Spartak Tambov
3 : 0
FC Oryol
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