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Rodina Moscow U19 vs FC Chertanovo Moscow U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Youth League Sapsan Arena, Moscow
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Kriulsky A.
51' Event
Kirikashvili A.
81' Event
Kriulsky A.

AI Match Summary

The Youth League game between Rodina Moscow U19 and FC Chertanovo Moscow U19 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rodina Moscow U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Rodina Moscow U19
15%
Draws
34%
FC Chertanovo Moscow U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rodina Moscow U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Chertanovo Moscow U19 haven't matched Rodina Moscow U19's recent run of results.
  • Rodina Moscow U19 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Youth League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Rodina Moscow U19 Clean Sheet 10%
FC Chertanovo Moscow U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodina Moscow U19 FC Chertanovo Moscow U19
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 7
Draws 4 6
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 2.61 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.46 2.36
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2026 Youth League
Rodina Moscow U19 vs FC Chertanovo Moscow U19
2:1
Jul 3, 2026 Youth League
FC Chertanovo Moscow U19 vs Rodina Moscow U19
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rodina Moscow U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kriulsky A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

FC Chertanovo Moscow U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kirikashvili A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodina Moscow U19 47 / 100
FC Chertanovo Moscow U19 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodina Moscow U19 FC Chertanovo Moscow U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rodina Moscow U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rodina Moscow U19 found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

FC Chertanovo Moscow U19 let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Rodina Moscow U19 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rodina Moscow U19 VS FC Chertanovo Moscow U19
3.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodina Moscow U19

(Home)
23 Oct
CSKA Moscow U19
5 : 1
Rodina Moscow U19
16 Oct
Rodina Moscow U19
5 : 1
Fakel Voronezh U19
09 Oct
Dynamo Moscow U19
2 : 3
Rodina Moscow U19
18 Sept
Rodina Moscow U19
2 : 1
FC Nizhny Novgorod (Est. 2015) U19
11 Sept
Almaz Antey U19
3 : 2
Rodina Moscow U19
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FC Chertanovo Moscow U19

(Away)
23 Oct
FC Chertanovo Moscow U19
3 : 2
Konoplev Academy U19
16 Oct
FC Chertanovo Moscow U19
2 : 5
CSKA Moscow U19
09 Oct
Fakel Voronezh U19
2 : 1
FC Chertanovo Moscow U19
18 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow U19
4 : 2
Dynamo Moscow U19
11 Sept
FC Nizhny Novgorod (Est. 2015) U19
4 : 3
FC Chertanovo Moscow U19
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSKA Moscow U19 27 21 2 4 89:36 65
2 Zenit St Petersburg U19 27 19 3 5 80:35 60
3 Krasnodar U19 27 18 3 6 81:43 57
4 Rodina Moscow U19 27 17 3 7 71:39 54
5 Lokomotiv Moscow U19 27 15 5 7 68:48 50
6 Konoplev Academy U19 27 14 5 8 56:44 47
7 Almaz Antey U19 27 13 5 9 55:60 44
8 Spartak Moscow U19 27 7 11 9 42:48 32
9 FK Rostov U19 27 9 5 13 39:48 32
10 Dynamo Moscow U19 27 9 4 14 45:53 31
11 Dynamo Makhachkala U19 27 8 4 15 37:61 28
12 Ural U19 28 8 4 16 36:61 28
13 FC Chertanovo Moscow U19 27 7 5 15 39:64 26
14 FC Nizhny Novgorod (Est. 2015) U19 28 6 4 18 32:73 22
15 Rubin Kazan U19 27 6 3 18 33:63 21
16 Fakel Voronezh U19 27 5 4 18 30:57 19
Relegation - Youth League (Relegation)