Sport Picks
Rodina Moscow U19 vs Krylya Sovetov Samara U19
Russia
Youth League 2025 Sapsan Arena, Moscow 
Match Events
45'
45'
Biryukov A.
55'
55'
Tyukaev T.
68'
68'
Samedov S.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-1, with Rodina Moscow U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rodina Moscow U19
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Rodina Moscow U19 come out ahead of Krylya Sovetov Samara U19 on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Rodina Moscow U19's way, sitting at 90%.
- Rodina Moscow U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Rodina Moscow U19, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Rodina Moscow U19 Clean Sheet 14%
Krylya Sovetov Samara U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rodina Moscow U19 | Krylya Sovetov Samara U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 17 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 4 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 2.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 2.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 29, 2025 Youth League
Krylya Sovetov Samara U19 vs Rodina Moscow U19
2:2
Nov 25, 2025 Youth League
Rodina Moscow U19 vs Krylya Sovetov Samara U19
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rodina Moscow U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Biryukov A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tyukaev T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Krylya Sovetov Samara U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Samedov S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rodina Moscow U19 84 / 100
Krylya Sovetov Samara U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rodina Moscow U19 Krylya Sovetov Samara U19
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ROD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Rodina Moscow U19 scored in 88% of their last 17 outings.
Krylya Sovetov Samara U19 has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Rodina Moscow U19 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Rodina Moscow U19 VS Krylya Sovetov Samara U19
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Rodina Moscow U19
(Home) 17 Jul
Konoplev Academy U19
1 : 4 Rodina Moscow U19
10 Jul
Rodina Moscow U19
5 : 1 FK Rostov U19
03 Jul
FC Chertanovo Moscow U19
0 : 2 Rodina Moscow U19
26 Jun
Rodina Moscow U19
2 : 3 CSKA Moscow U19
22 May
Fakel Voronezh U19
0 : 1 Rodina Moscow U19
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10 Jul
Rodina Moscow U19
5 : 1 FK Rostov U19
26 Jun
Rodina Moscow U19
2 : 3 CSKA Moscow U19
15 May
Rodina Moscow U19
2 : 0 Dynamo Moscow U19
01 May
Rodina Moscow U19
5 : 1 Almaz Antey U19
17 Apr
Rodina Moscow U19
0 : 0 Spartak Moscow U19
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Krylya Sovetov Samara U19
(Away) 29 Nov
Krylya Sovetov Samara U19
2 : 2 Rodina Moscow U19
25 Nov
Rodina Moscow U19
3 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara U19
21 Nov
Spartak Moscow U19
2 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara U19
08 Nov
Krylya Sovetov Samara U19
3 : 4 Ural U19
31 Oct
Zenit St Petersburg U19
3 : 0 Krylya Sovetov Samara U19
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25 Nov
Rodina Moscow U19
3 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara U19
21 Nov
Spartak Moscow U19
2 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara U19
31 Oct
Zenit St Petersburg U19
3 : 0 Krylya Sovetov Samara U19
17 Oct
FC Nizhny Novgorod (Est. 2015) U19
1 : 2 Krylya Sovetov Samara U19
26 Sept
Rubin Kazan U19
0 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara U19
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
Final
Sochi U192
Dynamo Makhachkala U194
Krylya Sovetov Samara U193
Rodina Moscow U195