Sport Picks
Rodina Moscow vs Akron Togliatti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
Premier League Arena Khimki, Khimki 
Match Events
12'
12'
Maksimenko A.
Assist: Pozo I.
17'
17'
Bardybakhin V.
45'
45'
Maksimenko A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Akron Togliatti
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
23%
/ Low Confidence
- Rodina Moscow have won more games recently than Akron Togliatti.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Rodina Moscow Clean Sheet 12%
Akron Togliatti Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rodina Moscow | Akron Togliatti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Premier League
Rodina Moscow vs Akron Togliatti
3:3
Jul 2, 2026 Club Friendly
Rodina Moscow vs Akron Togliatti
0:5
Jan 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Akron Togliatti vs Rodina Moscow
2:2
Mar 3, 2024 FNL
Akron Togliatti vs Rodina Moscow
0:2
Oct 14, 2023 FNL
Rodina Moscow vs Akron Togliatti
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rodina Moscow Compare
Top Goalscorer Maksimenko A.
3 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Akron Togliatti Compare
Top Goalscorer Loncar S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Benchimol
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rodina Moscow 29 / 100
Akron Togliatti 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rodina Moscow Akron Togliatti
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rodina Moscow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Rodina Moscow's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Akron Togliatti has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Recent resilience: Rodina Moscow stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Rodina Moscow VS Akron Togliatti
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Rodina Moscow
(Home) 04 Oct
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 2 Rodina Moscow
27 Sept
Partizan
2 : 3 Rodina Moscow
16 Sept
Rodina Moscow
1 : 1 Rubin Kazan
11 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 1 Rodina Moscow
06 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
2 : 0 Rodina Moscow
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Rodina Moscow
1 : 1 Rubin Kazan
30 Aug
Rodina Moscow
0 : 3 Baltika
18 Aug
Rodina Moscow
1 : 4 Orenburg
15 Aug
Rodina Moscow
3 : 3 Akron Togliatti
04 Aug
Rodina Moscow
5 : 0 Rubin Kazan
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Akron Togliatti
(Away) 02 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
4 : 0 Akron Togliatti
17 Sept
Akron Togliatti
2 : 0 Akhmat Grozny
13 Sept
Krasnodar
1 : 1 Akron Togliatti
06 Sept
Orenburg
2 : 2 Akron Togliatti
01 Sept
Akron Togliatti
1 : 0 Lokomotiv Moscow
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02 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
4 : 0 Akron Togliatti
13 Sept
Krasnodar
1 : 1 Akron Togliatti
06 Sept
Orenburg
2 : 2 Akron Togliatti
18 Aug
CSKA Moscow
0 : 1 Akron Togliatti
15 Aug
Rodina Moscow
3 : 3 Akron Togliatti
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | 21 |
| 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 19 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:7 | 19 |
| 5 | Zenit St Petersburg | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19:9 | 18 |
| 6 | Rubin Kazan | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15:16 | 12 |
| 8 | Baltika | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 11 |
| 9 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 10 | Akhmat Grozny | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 10 |
| 11 | Orenburg | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 7:10 | 9 |
| 12 | FK Rostov | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 13 | Akron Togliatti | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 15 | Rodina Moscow | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:22 | 5 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6:13 | 3 |
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)
