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Rodina Moscow vs Chernomorets Novorossijsk

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Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Rodina Moscow and Chernomorets Novorossijsk finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Rodina Moscow
6%
Draws
4%
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rodina Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rodina Moscow come out ahead of Chernomorets Novorossijsk on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Rodina Moscow taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Rodina Moscow Clean Sheet 20%
Chernomorets Novorossijsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodina Moscow Chernomorets Novorossijsk
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 FNL
Chernomorets Novorossijsk vs Rodina Moscow
1:3
Feb 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Rodina Moscow vs Chernomorets Novorossijsk
0:0
Jul 21, 2025 FNL
Rodina Moscow vs Chernomorets Novorossijsk
1:1
Nov 17, 2024 FNL
Rodina Moscow vs Chernomorets Novorossijsk
0:1
Sep 1, 2024 FNL
Chernomorets Novorossijsk vs Rodina Moscow
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodina Moscow 85 / 100
Chernomorets Novorossijsk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodina Moscow Chernomorets Novorossijsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chernomorets Novorossijsk let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Rodina Moscow's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Rodina Moscow stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rodina Moscow VS Chernomorets Novorossijsk
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%