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Rodina Moscow vs FK Rostov - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Premier League Arena Khimki, Khimki
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Pozo I.
Assist: Maksimenko A.
13'
Dyatlov I.
16' Event
Komarov I.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Rodina Moscow and FK Rostov finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Rostov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Rodina Moscow
15%
Draws
51%
FK Rostov
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Rostov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rodina Moscow come out ahead of FK Rostov on wins alone.
  • Rodina Moscow are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Rodina Moscow Clean Sheet 68%
FK Rostov Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodina Moscow FK Rostov
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.79 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Premier League
Rodina Moscow vs FK Rostov
2:4
Feb 1, 2026 Club Friendly
FK Rostov vs Rodina Moscow
0:1
Jan 19, 2025 Club Friendly
FK Rostov vs Rodina Moscow
3:2
Jan 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Rodina Moscow vs FK Rostov
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rodina Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Pozo I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

FK Rostov Compare

Top Goalscorer Langovich A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shantaliy D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodina Moscow 95 / 100
FK Rostov 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodina Moscow FK Rostov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rodina Moscow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Rodina Moscow found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

FK Rostov's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

FK Rostov's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Rodina Moscow VS FK Rostov
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodina Moscow

(Home)
04 Oct
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 2
Rodina Moscow
27 Sept
Partizan
2 : 3
Rodina Moscow
16 Sept
Rodina Moscow
1 : 1
Rubin Kazan
11 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 1
Rodina Moscow
06 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
2 : 0
Rodina Moscow
Page 1 of 6

FK Rostov

(Away)
09 Oct
FK Rostov
1 : 0
Akron Togliatti
03 Oct
FK Rostov
0 : 3
Krasnodar
17 Sept
FK Rostov
0 : 3
Dynamo Moscow
13 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 0
FK Rostov
05 Sept
FK Rostov
3 : 1
Fakel Voronezh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenit St Petersburg 10 7 0 3 22:11 21
2 Krasnodar 10 6 3 1 16:10 21
3 Spartak Moscow 10 6 2 2 17:8 20
4 Dynamo Moscow 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
5 CSKA Moscow 9 5 4 0 15:9 19
6 Orenburg 10 2 6 2 11:10 12
7 Rubin Kazan 9 2 6 1 12:11 12
8 Dynamo Makhachkala 10 4 0 6 15:20 12
9 Krylya Sovetov Samara 10 2 6 2 14:15 12
10 Baltika 9 3 2 4 14:12 11
11 FK Rostov 10 3 2 5 11:17 11
12 Lokomotiv Moscow 10 2 4 4 13:11 10
13 Akhmat Grozny 9 2 4 3 13:13 10
14 Akron Togliatti 10 1 5 4 11:19 8
15 Rodina Moscow 9 1 2 6 10:22 5
16 Fakel Voronezh 10 0 3 7 6:18 3
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)