Sport Picks
Rodina Moscow vs Ufa Prediction & H2H Stats
Russia
FNL 2025/2026 Arena Khimki, Khimki 
Match Events
4'
4'
Bakaev S.
35'
35'
Kamilov V.
43'
43'
Isaev S.
AI Match Summary
Rodina Moscow in this FNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rodina Moscow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rodina Moscow
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Rodina Moscow have won more games recently than Ufa.
- Model gives Rodina Moscow a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular FNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Rodina Moscow Clean Sheet 68%
Ufa Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rodina Moscow | Ufa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.76 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 FNL
Rodina Moscow vs Ufa
1:0
Feb 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Ufa vs Rodina Moscow
2:2
Aug 16, 2025 FNL
Ufa vs Rodina Moscow
0:0
Apr 20, 2025 FNL
Rodina Moscow vs Ufa
2:0
Feb 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Rodina Moscow vs Ufa
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rodina Moscow Compare
Top Goalscorer Maksimenko A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Ufa Compare
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rodina Moscow 46 / 100
Ufa 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rodina Moscow Ufa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rodina Moscow scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Ufa let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Rodina Moscow went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Rodina Moscow VS Ufa
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Rodina Moscow
(Home) 04 Oct
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 2 Rodina Moscow
27 Sept
Partizan
2 : 3 Rodina Moscow
16 Sept
Rodina Moscow
1 : 1 Rubin Kazan
11 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 1 Rodina Moscow
06 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
2 : 0 Rodina Moscow
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Rodina Moscow
1 : 1 Rubin Kazan
30 Aug
Rodina Moscow
0 : 3 Baltika
18 Aug
Rodina Moscow
1 : 4 Orenburg
15 Aug
Rodina Moscow
3 : 3 Akron Togliatti
04 Aug
Rodina Moscow
5 : 0 Rubin Kazan
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Ufa
(Away) 27 Sept
Ufa
0 : 0 Torpedo Moscow
18 Sept
Chelyabinsk
2 : 1 Ufa
13 Sept
Ufa
2 : 2 Ulyanovsk
09 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 0 Ufa
05 Sept
Ufa
1 : 1 Veles Moscow
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18 Sept
Chelyabinsk
2 : 1 Ufa
09 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 0 Ufa
28 Aug
Neftekhimik
0 : 1 Ufa
17 Aug
S. Kostroma
1 : 1 Ufa
08 Aug
Ural
3 : 0 Ufa
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rodina Moscow | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:28 | 68 |
| 2 | Fakel Voronezh | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 44:22 | 68 |
| 3 | Ural | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 51:31 | 61 |
| 4 | R. Volgograd | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 47:26 | 56 |
| 5 | Kamaz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 46:34 | 49 |
| 6 | Yenisey | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 37:35 | 49 |
| 7 | S. Kostroma | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 46:41 | 49 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 34:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Torpedo Moscow | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 37:39 | 46 |
| 10 | Chelyabinsk | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 42:40 | 44 |
| 11 | Neftekhimik | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 40:41 | 43 |
| 12 | SKA Khabarovsk | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37:45 | 42 |
| 13 | Arsenal Tula | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42:44 | 39 |
| 14 | Ulyanovsk | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 35:48 | 37 |
| 15 | Ufa | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:40 | 37 |
| 16 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37:49 | 35 |
| 17 | Saratov | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 16:44 | 26 |
| 18 | FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30:76 | 22 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
