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Rodinghausen vs Bonner - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga West
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Polat M.
47' Event
Klefisch B.
59' Event
Kader C.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga West game between Rodinghausen and Bonner finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rodinghausen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Rodinghausen
30%
Draws
51%
Bonner
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bonner

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Rodinghausen and Bonner close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Rodinghausen have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Rodinghausen Clean Sheet 10%
Bonner Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodinghausen Bonner
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 10
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.48 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Regionalliga West
Rodinghausen vs Bonner
2:1
Mar 14, 2026 Regionalliga West
Rodinghausen vs Bonner
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 Regionalliga West
Bonner vs Rodinghausen
1:0
Apr 23, 2022 Regionalliga West
Bonner vs Rodinghausen
0:1
Nov 13, 2021 Regionalliga West
Rodinghausen vs Bonner
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rodinghausen Compare

Top Goalscorer Polat M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Klefisch B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Bonner Compare

Top Goalscorer Kader C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodinghausen 30 / 100
Bonner 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodinghausen Bonner

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bonner Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bonner has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Rodinghausen's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Rodinghausen went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rodinghausen VS Bonner
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodinghausen

(Home)
03 Oct
Rodinghausen
2 : 1
Lotte
27 Sept
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
2 : 1
Rodinghausen
18 Sept
Rodinghausen
1 : 1
Gutersloh
13 Sept
Dortmund II
3 : 2
Rodinghausen
05 Sept
Rodinghausen
2 : 3
Wiedenbruck
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Bonner

(Away)
02 Oct
Bonner
2 : 1
Westfalia Rhynern
27 Sept
SG Wattenscheid
1 : 1
Bonner
19 Sept
Bonner
3 : 2
Bergisch Gladbach
12 Sept
Siegen
3 : 3
Bonner
04 Sept
Bonner
2 : 1
Koln II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 11 9 1 1 28:9 28
2 Dortmund II 11 7 4 0 23:11 25
3 Gutersloh 11 7 2 2 26:13 23
4 B. Monchengladbach II 11 6 2 3 25:13 20
5 Westfalia Rhynern 11 5 2 4 20:22 17
6 Siegen 11 4 4 3 19:18 16
7 Bergisch Gladbach 11 5 1 5 19:22 16
8 Bonner 11 3 6 2 21:20 15
9 Schalke II 10 5 0 5 20:20 15
10 Koln II 10 4 2 4 19:18 14
11 Bocholt 11 3 4 4 24:26 13
12 Paderborn II 11 3 4 4 19:22 13
13 SG Wattenscheid 11 3 3 5 16:20 12
14 Hilden 11 3 3 5 16:23 12
15 Bochum II 11 3 2 6 14:20 11
16 Rodinghausen 11 2 3 6 15:20 9
17 Wiedenbruck 11 2 2 7 14:26 8
18 Lotte 11 0 3 8 7:22 3
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)