Sport Picks
Rodopa Smolyan vs Sokol Markovo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Third League - South-East 2023/2024 
AI Match Summary
The Third League - South-East 2023/2024 game between Rodopa Smolyan and Sokol Markovo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rodopa Smolyan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rodopa Smolyan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Rodopa Smolyan come out ahead of Sokol Markovo on wins alone.
- Model gives Rodopa Smolyan a 58% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Rodopa Smolyan here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Rodopa Smolyan Clean Sheet 16%
Sokol Markovo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rodopa Smolyan | Sokol Markovo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 14 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 2.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 17, 2024 Third League - South-East
Rodopa Smolyan vs Sokol Markovo
2:1
Aug 5, 2023 Third League - South-East
Sokol Markovo vs Rodopa Smolyan
1:2
Feb 18, 2023 Third League - South-East
Sokol Markovo vs Rodopa Smolyan
3:2
Aug 6, 2022 Third League - South-East
Rodopa Smolyan vs Sokol Markovo
2:0
Apr 30, 2022 Third League - South-East
Rodopa Smolyan vs Sokol Markovo
4:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rodopa Smolyan 84 / 100
Sokol Markovo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rodopa Smolyan Sokol Markovo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rodopa Smolyan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sokol Markovo has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Rodopa Smolyan scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Rodopa Smolyan has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Rodopa Smolyan VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Rodopa Smolyan
(Home) 04 Oct
Rodopa Smolyan
1 : 3 Nesebar
26 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0 Rodopa Smolyan
19 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
5 : 3 Maritsa Plovdiv
12 Sept
Rozova Dolina
1 : 1 Rodopa Smolyan
05 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
0 : 0 OFC Haskovo
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Rodopa Smolyan
1 : 3 Nesebar
19 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
5 : 3 Maritsa Plovdiv
05 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
0 : 0 OFC Haskovo
22 Aug
Rodopa Smolyan
1 : 3 Zagorets
30 May
Rodopa Smolyan
4 : 2 Sekirovo Rakovski
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Sokol Markovo
(Away) 01 Jun
Levski Karlovo
2 : 0 Sokol Markovo
25 May
Sokol Markovo
0 : 6 Nesebar
18 May
OFC Haskovo
6 : 0 Sokol Markovo
15 May
Sokol Markovo
2 : 2 Beroe II
11 May
Sozopol
5 : 1 Sokol Markovo
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01 Jun
Levski Karlovo
2 : 0 Sokol Markovo
18 May
OFC Haskovo
6 : 0 Sokol Markovo
11 May
Sozopol
5 : 1 Sokol Markovo
28 Apr
Spartak Plovdiv
4 : 0 Sokol Markovo
17 Apr
Gigant Saedinenie
1 : 0 Sokol Markovo
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nesebar | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 121:39 | 95 |
| 2 | OFC Haskovo | 38 | 30 | 3 | 5 | 97:26 | 93 |
| 3 | Spartak Plovdiv | 38 | 29 | 6 | 3 | 122:22 | 93 |
| 4 | Gigant Saedinenie | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 81:43 | 71 |
| 5 | Zagorets | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 79:42 | 69 |
| 6 | Dimitrovgrad | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 60:40 | 67 |
| 7 | Botev II | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 84:55 | 61 |
| 8 | Atletik Kuklen | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 60:71 | 58 |
| 9 | Rozova Dolina | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 60:50 | 56 |
| 10 | Rodopa Smolyan | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 64:63 | 51 |
| 11 | Asenovets | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 59:73 | 48 |
| 12 | Lok. Plovdiv II | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 65:59 | 47 |
| 13 | Sozopol | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 57:53 | 46 |
| 14 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 59:75 | 40 |
| 15 | Levski Karlovo | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 56:91 | 38 |
| 16 | Yambol 1915 | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 49:82 | 37 |
| 17 | Karnobat | 38 | 11 | 1 | 26 | 46:106 | 34 |
| 18 | Sliven | 38 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 42:127 | 30 |
| 19 | Sokol Markovo | 38 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 36:98 | 27 |
| 20 | Beroe II | 38 | 6 | 2 | 30 | 26:108 | 20 |
Promotion - Vtora liga 2024/2025 (Main)
