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Rodos vs Amarynthiakos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026
Sat, Oct 25, 2025
0 - 3
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rodos host Amarynthiakos in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Amarynthiakos have shipped 1.58 goals a game lately, while Rodos have conceded 2.6 and scored 0.33. Past meetings favor Amarynthiakos slightly — 0-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 25, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.73 vs 2.06, favoring Amarynthiakos. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Rodos
15%
Draws
85%
Amarynthiakos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Amarynthiakos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Amarynthiakos come out ahead of Rodos on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Amarynthiakos's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Amarynthiakos have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.4%
Rodos Clean Sheet 10%
Amarynthiakos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rodos Amarynthiakos
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 2 5
Draws 2 4
Losses 26 22
Goals Scored 0.33 0.81
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Amarynthiakos vs Rodos
3:0
Oct 25, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Rodos vs Amarynthiakos
0:3
Mar 22, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Rodos vs Amarynthiakos
0:2
Nov 10, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Amarynthiakos vs Rodos
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rodos 22 / 100
Amarynthiakos 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rodos Amarynthiakos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amarynthiakos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amarynthiakos let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Away concern: Amarynthiakos has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Rodos scored in 17% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rodos VS Amarynthiakos
0 Goals Scored 1.13
3 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodos

(Home)
01 Mar
AO Karystou
3 : 0
Rodos
21 Feb
Rodos
0 : 3
Nea Ionia
15 Feb
E. Asteras
3 : 0
Rodos
07 Feb
Rodos
0 : 3
Kentavros Vrilission
01 Feb
Rodos
0 : 3
Aris Petroupolis
Page 1 of 6

Amarynthiakos

(Away)
08 Apr
Amarynthiakos
0 : 2
Doxa Vyronas
05 Apr
Apollon Kalythion
1 : 0
Amarynthiakos
01 Apr
Amarynthiakos
0 : 2
Kentavros Vrilission
28 Mar
Nea Ionia
1 : 0
Amarynthiakos
01 Mar
Amarynthiakos
0 : 1
Aris Petroupolis
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aris Petroupolis 22 15 6 1 36:11 51
2 Nea Artaki 22 13 8 1 26:8 47
3 Diagoras FC 22 9 8 5 28:15 35
4 AO Karystou 22 9 8 5 22:12 35
5 Afantou 22 9 5 8 25:24 32
6 E. Asteras 22 9 5 8 32:26 32
7 Nea Ionia 22 9 4 9 23:23 31
8 Doxa Vyronas 22 8 7 7 32:21 31
9 Apollon Kalythion 22 9 4 9 32:31 31
10 Kentavros Vrilission 22 8 3 11 27:30 27
11 Amarynthiakos 22 4 2 16 20:36 14
12 Rodos 22 0 0 22 0:66 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 (Losers stage)